--- title: "Luxury Knife case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Luxury Knife ($209.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.69% over 1,996 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife rendered: 2026-11-12T06:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Luxury Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Luxury Knife A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=all) Price · $209.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.69% · 1,996 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 95.35% ±4.86 1,492 openings 30 days · 93.69% ±4.02 1,996 openings since tracking started · 93.69% ±4.02 1,996 openings 62.5% 106.3% 150.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=24h) | 51 | 106.31% ±43.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=7d) | 1,492 | 95.35% ±4.86 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife) | 1,996 | 93.69% ±4.02 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife?window=all) | 1,996 | 93.69% ±4.02 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $210 $2,138 10.18x 2026-11-08 01:25 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $2,100 10.00x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [⌁ ?0?? ⌁](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%8C%81%20%3F0%3F%3F%20%E2%8C%81) $210 $1,601 7.62x 2026-11-06 09:57 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [ruthvargas](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ruthvargas) $210 $1,472 7.01x 2026-11-05 16:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $210 $1,243 5.92x 2026-11-10 20:14 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $210 $1,243 5.92x 2026-11-10 02:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [yaojiakai1006](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/yaojiakai1006) $210 $1,232 5.87x 2026-11-05 20:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [⌁ ?0?? ⌁](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%8C%81%20%3F0%3F%3F%20%E2%8C%81) $210 $1,229 5.85x 2026-11-06 09:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [qvz](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/qvz) $210 $1,223 5.82x 2026-11-07 18:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $210 $1,219 5.81x 2026-11-09 06:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=classic-luxury-knife) [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [sapeS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sapeS) $210 $120 0.57x 2026-11-12 04:42 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [sapeS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sapeS) $210 $80.96 0.39x 2026-11-12 04:42 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [sapeS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sapeS) $210 $409 1.95x 2026-11-12 04:42 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Badovskyyy\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Badovskyyy_) $210 $122 0.58x 2026-11-11 22:55 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $210 $194 0.92x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $121 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $2,100 10.00x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $124 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $122 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $210 $158 0.75x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,138 (10.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.69 on average: an expected loss of $6.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt