--- title: "Astral Shard case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Astral Shard ($0.00) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 71.18% over 1,311 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard rendered: 2026-11-12T07:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Astral Shard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Astral Shard A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=all) Price · $0.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 71.18% · 1,311 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 121 openings · below min 7 days · 72.65% ±6.64 1,051 openings 30 days · 71.18% ±5.80 1,311 openings since tracking started · 71.18% ±5.80 1,311 openings 46.0% 67.5% 89.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=24h) | 121 | 67.47% ±20.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=7d) | 1,051 | 72.65% ±6.64 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard) | 1,311 | 71.18% ±5.80 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/crystal-astral-shard?window=all) | 1,311 | 71.18% ±5.80 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=crystal-astral-shard) [P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) [Jams](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jams) $0 $0.53 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) [Jams](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jams) $0 $2.95 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) [Jams](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jams) $5.00 $2.95 0.59x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC [P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) [kathleenfraser](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/kathleenfraser) $5.00 $0.53 0.11x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [Szapi(Concrete)](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Szapi%28Concrete%29) $0 $1.42 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:31 UTC [Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [AimBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AimBot) $5.00 $0.84 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) [ruthvargas](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ruthvargas) $5.00 $1.28 0.26x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) [mystaristotle](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mystaristotle) $5.00 $0.87 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) [Peeep](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Peeep) $5.00 $0.87 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) [AimBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AimBot) $5.00 $0.54 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.18 on average: an expected loss of $28.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt