--- title: "Asiimov or Fade case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Asiimov or Fade ($4.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.70% over 2,998 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade rendered: 2026-11-13T05:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Asiimov or Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Asiimov or Fade A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=all) Price · $4.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.70% · 2,998 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 154 openings · below min 7 days · 86.68% ±12.62 2,300 openings 30 days · 86.70% ±10.62 2,998 openings since tracking started · 86.70% ±10.62 2,998 openings 44.5% 85.3% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=24h) | 154 | 85.09% ±40.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=7d) | 2,300 | 86.68% ±12.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade) | 2,998 | 86.70% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-asiimov-or-fade?window=all) | 2,998 | 86.70% ±10.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) [vValid](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/vValid) $4.99 $294 58.94x 2026-11-07 04:32 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) [p1mple](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/p1mple) $4.99 $290 58.02x 2026-11-08 09:01 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) [wakakakka](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/wakakakka) $4.99 $265 53.16x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=farm-asiimov-or-fade) [USP-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) [SrryNotSrry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/SrryNotSrry) $4.99 $2.55 0.51x 2026-11-13 04:40 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) [SrryNotSrry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/SrryNotSrry) $4.99 $1.14 0.23x 2026-11-13 04:40 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [SrryNotSrry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/SrryNotSrry) $4.99 $0.74 0.15x 2026-11-13 04:40 UTC [USP-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) [IKAAAANNN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/IKAAAANNN) $4.99 $0.72 0.14x 2026-11-13 02:06 UTC [USP-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) [Janihanc](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Janihanc) $4.99 $2.55 0.51x 2026-11-13 01:21 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [Janihanc](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Janihanc) $4.99 $6.59 1.32x 2026-11-13 01:21 UTC [USP-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) [? ? ?](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%3F%20%3F%20%3F) $4.99 $0.72 0.14x 2026-11-13 01:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-minimal-wear) [panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/panda) $4.99 $4.46 0.89x 2026-11-13 01:00 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [boog](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/boog) $4.99 $6.59 1.32x 2026-11-13 00:26 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) [Gay\_Wehner](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gay_Wehner) $4.99 $6.65 1.33x 2026-11-13 00:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $294 (58.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.70 on average: an expected loss of $13.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt