--- title: "Fresh case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fresh ($1.69) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.77% over 6,079 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh rendered: 2026-11-11T22:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Fresh](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Fresh A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=all) Price · $1.69 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.77% · 6,079 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 935 openings · below min 7 days · 84.09% ±5.61 5,205 openings 30 days · 84.77% ±5.11 6,079 openings since tracking started · 84.77% ±5.11 6,079 openings 71.0% 84.0% 97.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=24h) | 935 | 84.15% ±12.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=7d) | 5,205 | 84.09% ±5.61 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh) | 6,079 | 84.77% ±5.11 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-fresh?window=all) | 6,079 | 84.77% ±5.11 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-minimal-wear) [pidaras](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/pidaras) $1.69 $101 59.67x 2026-11-09 18:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=farm-fresh) [P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $0.87 0.51x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Tilted (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-minimal-wear) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $0.46 0.27x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-field-tested) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-well-worn) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $0.44 0.26x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [MAC-10 | Derailment (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-field-tested) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $1.69 1.00x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) [Jinxib](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Jinxib) $1.69 $2.66 1.57x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) [POPTITAN OLIVER KAHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/POPTITAN%20OLIVER%20KAHN) $1.69 $2.66 1.57x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-minimal-wear) [sherbet](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sherbet) $1.69 $0.51 0.30x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-factory-new) [RedK](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/RedK) $1.69 $8.71 5.15x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $101 (59.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.77 on average: an expected loss of $15.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt