--- title: "M4 Farm case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "M4 Farm ($0.79) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.05% over 15.3K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm rendered: 2026-11-12T07:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [M4 Farm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · M4 Farm A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=all) Price · $0.79 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.05% · 15.3K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.30% ±12.70 1,325 openings 7 days · 85.44% ±3.53 12.9K openings 30 days · 86.05% ±3.22 15.3K openings since tracking started · 86.05% ±3.22 15.3K openings 74.0% 87.3% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=24h) | 1,325 | 87.30% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=7d) | 12.9K | 85.44% ±3.53 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm) | 15.3K | 86.05% ±3.22 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm?window=all) | 15.3K | 86.05% ±3.22 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [TIXLA](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TIXLA) $0.79 $60.30 76.33x 2026-11-08 16:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) [给你一拳](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E7%BB%99%E4%BD%A0%E4%B8%80%E6%8B%B3) $0.79 $53.29 67.46x 2026-11-10 14:01 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [?X?](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%3FX%3F) $0.79 $46.85 59.30x 2026-11-12 04:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=farm-m4-farm) [Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) [shepard-95](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/shepard-95) $0.79 $0.56 0.71x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) [Guiseppton](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Guiseppton) $0.79 $0.10 0.13x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-well-worn) [GODMODE](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/GODMODE) $0.79 $0.56 0.71x 2026-11-12 07:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [R3druM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/R3druM) $0.79 $0.15 0.19x 2026-11-12 07:19 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) [Romanela](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Romanela) $0.79 $0.25 0.32x 2026-11-12 07:17 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [Gamazevr](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gamazevr) $0.79 $0.15 0.19x 2026-11-12 07:17 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [mcdonald](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mcdonald) $0.79 $0.15 0.19x 2026-11-12 07:12 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-well-worn) [Mummon Hakkaajaツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mummon%20Hakkaaja%E3%83%84) $0.79 $0.11 0.14x 2026-11-12 07:12 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-battle-scarred) [nigrita](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/nigrita) $0.79 $0.35 0.44x 2026-11-12 07:07 UTC [P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-minimal-wear) [★ ricardodiogoalves ☁](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%85%20ricardodiogoalves%20%E2%98%81) $0.79 $0.32 0.41x 2026-11-12 07:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $60.30 (76.33x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.05 on average: an expected loss of $13.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt