--- title: "Red Setup case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Red Setup ($3.33) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.43% over 3,044 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup rendered: 2026-11-12T01:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Red Setup](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Red Setup A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=all) Price · $3.33 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.43% · 3,044 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 212 openings · below min 7 days · 86.69% ±13.10 1,729 openings 30 days · 82.43% ±10.02 3,044 openings since tracking started · 82.43% ±10.02 3,044 openings 58.5% 84.5% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=24h) | 212 | 84.39% ±25.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=7d) | 1,729 | 86.69% ±13.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup) | 3,044 | 82.43% ±10.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-red-setup?window=all) | 3,044 | 82.43% ±10.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [leumas](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/leumas) $3.33 $229 68.80x 2026-11-06 23:10 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Farmskins.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Farmskins.com) $3.33 $216 64.97x 2026-11-04 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-dragon-fists-minimal-wear) [bardzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/bardzo) $3.33 $207 62.13x 2026-11-03 23:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=farm-red-setup) [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) [Svot](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Svot) $3.33 $1.92 0.58x 2026-11-12 01:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) [Swadude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Swadude) $3.33 $0.19 0.06x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) [Swadude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Swadude) $3.33 $2.47 0.74x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-minimal-wear) [Swadude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Swadude) $3.33 $3.11 0.93x 2026-11-12 01:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-well-worn) [shielahines](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/shielahines) $3.33 $0.28 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:36 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-minimal-wear) [POPTITAN OLIVER KAHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/POPTITAN%20OLIVER%20KAHN) $3.33 $4.17 1.25x 2026-11-12 00:36 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-factory-new) [pascl'](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/pascl%26%23039%3B) $3.33 $3.98 1.20x 2026-11-12 00:36 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) [KaifMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/KaifMan) $3.33 $0.56 0.17x 2026-11-12 00:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) [POPTITAN OLIVER KAHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/POPTITAN%20OLIVER%20KAHN) $3.33 $0.46 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:32 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-factory-new) [pascl'](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/pascl%26%23039%3B) $3.33 $1.43 0.43x 2026-11-12 00:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $229 (68.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.43 on average: an expected loss of $17.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt