--- title: "Forge case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Forge ($399.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.94% over 411 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge rendered: 2026-11-11T18:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Forge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Forge A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=all) Price · $399.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.94% · 411 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 25 openings · below min 7 days · 338 openings · below min 30 days · 411 openings · below min since tracking started · 411 openings · below min 67.5% 144.8% 222.0% **Small sample.** 411 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=24h) | 25 | 144.75% ±76.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=7d) | 338 | 95.36% ±16.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge) | 411 | 96.94% ±14.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-forge?window=all) | 411 | 96.94% ±14.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $400 $3,429 8.57x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) [zenyx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zenyx) $400 $3,426 8.57x 2026-11-07 21:58 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) [Mnonneli](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mnonneli) $400 $3,418 8.55x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [Ⓕⓔⓡⓐⓛ ⓑⓔⓡⓡⓨ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%92%BB%E2%93%94%E2%93%A1%E2%93%90%E2%93%9B%20%E2%93%91%E2%93%94%E2%93%A1%E2%93%A1%E2%93%A8) $400 $3,310 8.27x 2026-11-05 23:16 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $400 $3,310 8.27x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [★Nyx★](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%85Nyx%E2%98%85) $400 $2,979 7.45x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $400 $2,839 7.10x 2026-11-05 00:11 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $400 $2,701 6.75x 2026-11-08 16:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-minimal-wear) [Pol0](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Pol0) $400 $2,500 6.25x 2026-11-04 20:46 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [dk](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/dk) $400 $2,242 5.60x 2026-11-04 00:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-forge) [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) [cowan](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/cowan) $400 $70.03 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) [HeadHunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/HeadHunter) $400 $137 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [nvc](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/nvc) $400 $195 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $400 $67.29 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $400 $195 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $400 $823 2.06x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [M4A4 | Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) [Mnonneli](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mnonneli) $400 $69.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-field-tested) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $400 $400 1.00x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) [Mnonneli](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mnonneli) $400 $3,418 8.55x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $400 $1,640 4.10x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,429 (8.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.94 on average: an expected loss of $3.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt