--- title: "Heat case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Heat ($777.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.74% over 1,250 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat rendered: 2026-11-12T03:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Heat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Heat A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=all) Price · $777.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.74% · 1,250 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 166 openings · below min 7 days · 805 openings · below min 30 days · 90.74% ±5.46 1,250 openings since tracking started · 90.74% ±5.46 1,250 openings 80.5% 92.8% 105.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=24h) | 166 | 92.70% ±11.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=7d) | 805 | 90.76% ±6.46 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat) | 1,250 | 90.74% ±5.46 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-heat?window=all) | 1,250 | 90.74% ±5.46 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $778 $7,757 9.97x 2026-11-03 05:40 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $7,757 9.97x 2026-11-03 00:02 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $778 $7,656 9.84x 2026-11-06 22:45 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $778 $6,955 8.94x 2026-11-04 23:22 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $778 $6,918 8.89x 2026-11-08 05:31 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $5,819 7.48x 2026-11-02 23:53 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) [melkiy-eto-ya](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/melkiy-eto-ya) $778 $5,607 7.21x 2026-11-09 22:42 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $5,437 6.99x 2026-11-10 20:11 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $778 $5,437 6.99x 2026-11-10 08:15 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $5,323 6.84x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-heat) [★ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) [AFKLegend](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AFKLegend) $778 $571 0.73x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $691 0.89x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) [AFKLegend](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AFKLegend) $778 $415 0.53x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $895 1.15x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [AFKLegend](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AFKLegend) $778 $670 0.86x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $571 0.73x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) [AFKLegend](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AFKLegend) $778 $451 0.58x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $1,885 2.42x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [univers](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/univers) $778 $247 0.32x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [Fruitcupx](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fruitcupx) $778 $372 0.48x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,757 (9.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.74 on average: an expected loss of $9.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt