--- title: "Knife Lover case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Knife Lover ($99.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.50% over 462 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover rendered: 2026-11-12T06:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Knife Lover](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Knife Lover A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=all) Price · $99.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.50% · 462 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 41 openings · below min 7 days · 336 openings · below min 30 days · 462 openings · below min since tracking started · 462 openings · below min 64.5% 89.0% 113.5% **Small sample.** 462 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=24h) | 41 | 88.80% ±23.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=7d) | 336 | 90.15% ±10.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover) | 462 | 91.50% ±8.85 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-knife-lover?window=all) | 462 | 91.50% ±8.85 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) [Диаста](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%D0%94%D0%B8%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0) $99.99 $539 5.39x 2026-11-02 22:13 UTC [AWP | CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $99.99 $523 5.23x 2026-11-05 18:41 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [PSP Prostate](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PSP%20Prostate) $99.99 $515 5.15x 2026-11-07 07:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-knife-lover) [USP-S | The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) [accdiabloiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/accdiabloiii) $99.99 $30.19 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) [I'm a warrior](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/I%26%23039%3Bm%20a%20warrior) $99.99 $50.36 0.50x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-minimal-wear) [Gabepeixe](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gabepeixe) $99.99 $323 3.23x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [darrell](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/darrell) $99.99 $114 1.14x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) [꧁༒☬YahYeet☬༒꧂](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%EA%A7%81%E0%BC%92%E2%98%ACYahYeet%E2%98%AC%E0%BC%92%EA%A7%82) $99.99 $46.76 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $99.99 $129 1.29x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) [GameRr](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/GameRr) $99.99 $87.51 0.88x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) [darrell](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/darrell) $99.99 $46.76 0.47x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) [꧁༒☬YahYeet☬༒꧂](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%EA%A7%81%E0%BC%92%E2%98%ACYahYeet%E2%98%AC%E0%BC%92%EA%A7%82) $99.99 $207 2.07x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $99.99 $34.55 0.35x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $539 (5.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.50 on average: an expected loss of $8.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt