--- title: "Molotov BBQ case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Molotov BBQ ($4.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.40% over 1,316 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq rendered: 2026-11-12T10:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Molotov BBQ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Molotov BBQ A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=all) Price · $4.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.40% · 1,316 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 107 openings · below min 7 days · 910 openings · below min 30 days · 94.40% ±7.25 1,316 openings since tracking started · 94.40% ±7.25 1,316 openings 83.0% 111.0% 139.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=24h) | 107 | 110.98% ±27.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=7d) | 910 | 93.77% ±8.21 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq) | 1,316 | 94.40% ±7.25 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-molotov-bbq?window=all) | 1,316 | 94.40% ±7.25 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-molotov-bbq) [AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [2:17AM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/2%3A17AM) $4.99 $2.44 0.49x 2026-11-12 10:28 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) [Polaris](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Polaris) $4.99 $2.10 0.42x 2026-11-12 10:28 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) [Naskikiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Naskikiki) $4.99 $2.10 0.42x 2026-11-12 10:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-battle-scarred) [kardus](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/kardus) $4.99 $1.52 0.30x 2026-11-12 08:54 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) [sari lapio](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sari%20lapio) $4.99 $11.57 2.32x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [???????](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F) $4.99 $2.97 0.60x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-factory-new) [991](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/991) $4.99 $8.39 1.68x 2026-11-12 07:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) [sari lapio](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sari%20lapio) $4.99 $32.71 6.56x 2026-11-12 07:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) [EnlightenBullet](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/EnlightenBullet) $4.99 $7.74 1.55x 2026-11-12 02:31 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) [2oldtogame](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/2oldtogame) $4.99 $3.27 0.66x 2026-11-12 00:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.40 on average: an expected loss of $5.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt