--- title: "Shadow case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shadow ($2.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.95% over 6,245 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Shadow A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=all) Price · $2.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.95% · 6,245 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 38.85% ±4.90 1,700 openings 7 days · 70.28% ±4.41 5,680 openings 30 days · 69.95% ±4.18 6,245 openings since tracking started · 69.95% ±4.18 6,245 openings 33.5% 54.5% 75.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=24h) | 1,700 | 38.85% ±4.90 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=7d) | 5,680 | 70.28% ±4.41 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow) | 6,245 | 69.95% ±4.18 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-shadow?window=all) | 6,245 | 69.95% ±4.18 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-shadow) [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-minimal-wear) [N33K3R1ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/N33K3R1%E3%83%84) $2.99 $0.81 0.27x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) [ppqpkfcw](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ppqpkfcw) $2.99 $1.99 0.67x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) [Bartolinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Bartolinho) $2.99 $0.43 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC [AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [ENGOLO KANTEEEEEE](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ENGOLO%20KANTEEEEEE) $2.99 $3.30 1.10x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [ENGOLO KANTEEEEEE](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ENGOLO%20KANTEEEEEE) $2.99 $0.65 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) [キャンディーアップル](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%83%AB) $2.99 $1.16 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [michael](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/michael) $2.99 $1.14 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-minimal-wear) [Wanted](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Wanted) $2.99 $0.74 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [Farmskins.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Farmskins.com) $2.99 $0.42 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-minimal-wear) [?ato420 ㋛♡](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%3Fato420%20%E3%8B%9B%E2%99%A1) $2.99 $0.81 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.95 on average: an expected loss of $30.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt