--- title: "Smasher case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Smasher ($555.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.05% over 304 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher rendered: 2026-11-12T04:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Smasher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Smasher A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=all) Price · $555.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.05% · 304 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 234 openings · below min 30 days · 304 openings · below min since tracking started · 304 openings · below min 59.5% 120.0% 180.5% **Small sample.** 304 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=24h) | 16 | 120.08% ±59.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=7d) | 234 | 98.94% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher) | 304 | 97.05% ±9.73 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-smasher?window=all) | 304 | 97.05% ±9.73 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [josh\_milner](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/josh_milner) $556 $2,198 3.95x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-factory-new) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $556 $2,106 3.79x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [davidvejmola](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/davidvejmola) $556 $2,072 3.73x 2026-11-09 06:34 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $556 $2,067 3.72x 2026-11-04 23:23 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [snav](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/snav) $556 $2,062 3.71x 2026-11-07 05:42 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $556 $2,059 3.70x 2026-11-03 21:00 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-factory-new) [ppqpkfcw](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ppqpkfcw) $556 $2,017 3.63x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $556 $1,912 3.44x 2026-11-07 07:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-factory-new) [Rylan77](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Rylan77) $556 $1,911 3.44x 2026-11-09 06:48 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $556 $1,814 3.26x 2026-11-05 23:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-smasher) [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $556 $198 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [paulriblett1906](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/paulriblett1906) $556 $884 1.59x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $556 $243 0.44x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [AimBot](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AimBot) $556 $328 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $556 $471 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:38 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [josh\_milner](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/josh_milner) $556 $2,198 3.95x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $556 $253 0.45x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) [OFFLINE](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/OFFLINE) $556 $903 1.62x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $556 $198 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Gabepeixe](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gabepeixe) $556 $357 0.64x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,198 (3.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.05 on average: an expected loss of $2.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt