--- title: "Steeled case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Steeled ($199.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.11% over 264 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled rendered: 2026-11-11T22:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Steeled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Steeled A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=all) Price · $199.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.11% · 264 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 167 openings · below min 30 days · 264 openings · below min since tracking started · 264 openings · below min 35.5% 79.5% 123.5% **Small sample.** 264 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=24h) | 16 | 79.47% ±43.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=7d) | 167 | 87.89% ±17.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled) | 264 | 85.11% ±13.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/gaben-steeled?window=all) | 264 | 85.11% ±13.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [youngb0y](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/youngb0y) $200 $1,437 7.19x 2026-11-03 22:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $200 $1,281 6.41x 2026-11-03 20:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [brown\_alexander70](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/brown_alexander70) $200 $1,279 6.39x 2026-11-06 14:29 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $200 $1,139 5.70x 2026-11-03 15:58 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [yaojiakai10062004](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/yaojiakai10062004) $200 $1,110 5.55x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $200 $1,076 5.38x 2026-11-07 07:58 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $200 $1,032 5.16x 2026-11-07 22:13 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) [Mr. Älä Huoli Siit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mr.%20%C3%84l%C3%A4%20Huoli%20Siit) $200 $1,031 5.16x 2026-11-09 18:56 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $200 $1,030 5.15x 2026-11-02 21:58 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $200 $966 4.83x 2026-11-05 00:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=gaben-steeled) [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $200 $40.41 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $200 $91.26 0.46x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gabepeixe](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gabepeixe) $200 $361 1.80x 2026-11-11 20:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $200 $514 2.57x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $200 $213 1.07x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $200 $36.20 0.18x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) [Ping999](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Ping999) $200 $52.41 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $200 $34.11 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) [i swear she was adult](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/i%20swear%20she%20was%20adult) $200 $130 0.65x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $200 $586 2.93x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,437 (7.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.11 on average: an expected loss of $14.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt