--- title: "Ballistic case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ballistic ($1.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.46% over 6,445 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic rendered: 2026-11-12T00:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Ballistic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Ballistic A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=all) Price · $1.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.46% · 6,445 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 840 openings · below min 7 days · 82.40% ±2.30 5,134 openings 30 days · 83.46% ±2.32 6,445 openings since tracking started · 83.46% ±2.32 6,445 openings 75.5% 81.5% 87.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=24h) | 840 | 81.56% ±5.44 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=7d) | 5,134 | 82.40% ±2.30 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic) | 6,445 | 83.46% ±2.32 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/kevlar-ballistic?window=all) | 6,445 | 83.46% ±2.32 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=kevlar-ballistic) [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [2oldtogame](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/2oldtogame) $1.99 $4.71 2.37x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-field-tested) [POPTITAN OLIVER KAHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/POPTITAN%20OLIVER%20KAHN) $1.99 $0.44 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [pascl'](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/pascl%26%23039%3B) $1.99 $0.57 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [M4A1-S | Electrum (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-well-worn) [Ronny 組](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Ronny%20%E7%B5%84) $1.99 $0.83 0.42x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) [TinkleBerry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TinkleBerry) $1.99 $2.94 1.48x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) [Harry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Harry) $1.99 $0.31 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [Harry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Harry) $1.99 $0.57 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) [Farmskins.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Farmskins.com) $1.99 $4.62 2.32x 2026-11-12 00:09 UTC [AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) [POPTITAN OLIVER KAHN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/POPTITAN%20OLIVER%20KAHN) $1.99 $0.61 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-minimal-wear) [pascl'](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/pascl%26%23039%3B) $1.99 $0.63 0.32x 2026-11-12 00:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.46 on average: an expected loss of $16.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt