--- title: "Exiled case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Exiled ($9.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.38% over 2,136 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled rendered: 2026-11-11T18:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Exiled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Exiled A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=all) Price · $9.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.38% · 2,136 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 183 openings · below min 7 days · 95.44% ±13.92 1,489 openings 30 days · 93.38% ±11.11 2,136 openings since tracking started · 93.38% ±11.11 2,136 openings 60.0% 93.2% 126.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=24h) | 183 | 93.43% ±32.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=7d) | 1,489 | 95.44% ±13.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled) | 2,136 | 93.38% ±11.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-exiled?window=all) | 2,136 | 93.38% ±11.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-field-tested) [Moravian Eagle](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Moravian%20Eagle) $9.99 $570 57.07x 2026-11-07 10:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=premium-exiled) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) [lewyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lewyy) $9.99 $3.89 0.39x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) [lewyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lewyy) $9.99 $3.89 0.39x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [USP-S | Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-field-tested) [skoulosog](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/skoulosog) $9.99 $2.68 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) [skoulosog](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/skoulosog) $9.99 $5.70 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC [MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-minimal-wear) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $9.99 $2.46 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-factory-new) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $9.99 $4.90 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-field-tested) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $9.99 $0.88 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-factory-new) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $9.99 $8.39 0.84x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $9.99 $4.76 0.48x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $9.99 $4.33 0.43x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $570 (57.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.38 on average: an expected loss of $6.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt