---
title: "Secret case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Secret ($0.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.50% over 1,176 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Secret](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret)

# [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Secret

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=all)

Price · $0.99

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.50% · 1,176 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 373 openings · below min

7 days · 949 openings · below min

30 days · 85.50% ±10.17 1,176 openings

since tracking started · 85.50% ±10.17 1,176 openings

73.5% 91.8% 110.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=24h) | 373 | 91.64% ±17.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=7d) | 949 | 87.90% ±12.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret) | 1,176 | 85.50% ±10.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/premium-secret?window=all) | 1,176 | 85.50% ±10.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=premium-secret)

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) [Iressistible](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Iressistible) $0.99 $0.32 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) [Iressistible](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Iressistible) $0.99 $0.32 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-minimal-wear) [Iressistible](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Iressistible) $0.99 $0.32 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $0.99 $0.37 0.37x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-earth-mandala-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $0.99 $0.18 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $0.99 $2.11 2.13x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-field-tested) [PoopNFartR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PoopNFartR) $0.99 $0.15 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-factory-new) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $0.99 $0.64 0.65x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-field-tested) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $0.99 $0.32 0.32x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-earth-mandala-well-worn) [Postal Dude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Postal%20Dude) $0.99 $0.19 0.19x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.50 on average: an expected loss of $14.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
