--- title: "Eruption case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Eruption ($2.50) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 19.97% over 1,501 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption rendered: 2026-11-11T20:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Eruption](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Eruption A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 19.97% · 1,501 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 154 openings · below min 7 days · 20.52% ±1.18 1,223 openings 30 days · 19.97% ±1.02 1,501 openings since tracking started · 19.97% ±1.02 1,501 openings 16.5% 20.0% 23.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=24h) | 154 | 19.99% ±2.98 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=7d) | 1,223 | 20.52% ±1.18 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption) | 1,501 | 19.97% ±1.02 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-eruption?window=all) | 1,501 | 19.97% ±1.02 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=promo-eruption) [P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-minimal-wear) [⚡Sh0x BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%9A%A1Sh0x%20BR) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:51 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) [Paiskari123](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Paiskari123) $2.50 $1.37 0.55x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-minimal-wear) [Badovskyyy\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Badovskyyy_) $2.50 $0.56 0.22x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Pralka](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Pralka) $2.50 $0.55 0.22x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC [P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-minimal-wear) [Farmskins.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Farmskins.com) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) [AlMat9](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/AlMat9) $2.50 $0.27 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-factory-new) [Nut](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Nut) $2.50 $0.95 0.38x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-minimal-wear) [endiendi2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/endiendi2026) $2.50 $0.17 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:25 UTC [P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) [DR\_ex](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/DR_ex) $2.50 $0.90 0.36x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Lucifeiro](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Lucifeiro) $2.50 $0.55 0.22x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 20.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $19.97 on average: an expected loss of $80.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt