--- title: "Frostfire case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Frostfire ($2.50) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 17.31% over 1,534 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire rendered: 2026-11-12T08:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Frostfire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Frostfire A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 17.31% · 1,534 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 149 openings · below min 7 days · 17.33% ±0.74 1,206 openings 30 days · 17.31% ±0.62 1,534 openings since tracking started · 17.31% ±0.62 1,534 openings 14.5% 19.5% 24.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=24h) | 149 | 19.74% ±4.35 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=7d) | 1,206 | 17.33% ±0.74 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire) | 1,534 | 17.31% ±0.62 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-frostfire?window=all) | 1,534 | 17.31% ±0.62 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=promo-frostfire) [MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-cobalt-paisley-minimal-wear) [SV5 VETTEL](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/SV5%20VETTEL) $2.50 $0.46 0.18x 2026-11-12 08:16 UTC [P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-factory-new) [sousawendel856](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sousawendel856) $2.50 $0.72 0.29x 2026-11-12 07:11 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [ColguN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ColguN) $2.50 $0.15 0.06x 2026-11-12 06:50 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) [LLLLLLLLLLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LLLLLLLLLLL) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-12 06:35 UTC [FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-minimal-wear) [mmm KinGG futacios CSGOSKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mmm%20KinGG%20futacios%20CSGOSKINS) $2.50 $0.26 0.10x 2026-11-12 06:20 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) [Geijo](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Geijo) $2.50 $0.59 0.24x 2026-11-12 05:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-factory-new) [REDX SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/REDX%20SKINS) $2.50 $0.76 0.30x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [P90 | Reef Grief (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-reef-grief-field-tested) [ALIMETA777](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ALIMETA777) $2.50 $0.18 0.07x 2026-11-12 03:31 UTC [FAMAS | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-field-tested) [Fury-DOMINUS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Fury-DOMINUS) $2.50 $0.14 0.06x 2026-11-12 03:25 UTC [FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) [IGengarI](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/IGengarI) $2.50 $0.75 0.30x 2026-11-12 03:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 17.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $17.31 on average: an expected loss of $82.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt