--- title: "Opportunity case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Opportunity ($2.50) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 24.29% over 182 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity rendered: 2026-11-12T04:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Opportunity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Opportunity A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 24.29% · 182 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 140 openings · below min 30 days · 182 openings · below min since tracking started · 182 openings · below min 22.0% 24.3% 26.5% **Small sample.** 182 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=24h) | 29 | 24.23% ±1.62 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=7d) | 140 | 24.14% ±0.86 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity) | 182 | 24.29% ±0.76 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-opportunity?window=all) | 182 | 24.29% ±0.76 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=promo-opportunity) [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) [K0](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/K0) $2.50 $0.65 0.26x 2026-11-12 03:51 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [no'1-SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/no%26%23039%3B1-SKINS) $2.50 $0.61 0.24x 2026-11-12 03:47 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) [MijakaretaSs=SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MijakaretaSs%3DSKINS) $2.50 $0.56 0.22x 2026-11-12 03:35 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-well-worn) [d0Z3r](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/d0Z3r) $2.50 $0.63 0.25x 2026-11-12 03:16 UTC [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-field-tested) [aldin-](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/aldin-) $2.50 $0.89 0.36x 2026-11-12 01:20 UTC [P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-field-tested) [MiniMatylda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MiniMatylda) $2.50 $0.49 0.20x 2026-11-12 00:52 UTC [MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-battle-scarred) [poseidon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/poseidon) $2.50 $0.67 0.27x 2026-11-11 23:43 UTC [P250 | Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) [-pINO](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/-pINO) $2.50 $0.50 0.20x 2026-11-11 23:01 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [7Elven](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/7Elven) $2.50 $0.83 0.33x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-minimal-wear) [McQ thedott18](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/McQ%20thedott18) $2.50 $0.81 0.32x 2026-11-11 21:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 24.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $24.29 on average: an expected loss of $75.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt