---
title: "Siege case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Siege ($2.50) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 22.04% over 361 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Siege](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege)

# [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Siege

A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 22.04% · 361 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 56 openings · below min

7 days · 267 openings · below min

30 days · 361 openings · below min

since tracking started · 361 openings · below min

19.5% 22.5% 25.5%

**Small sample.** 361 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=24h) | 56 | 22.56% ±2.22 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=7d) | 267 | 22.19% ±0.97 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege) | 361 | 22.04% ±0.81 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-siege?window=all) | 361 | 22.04% ±0.81 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=promo-siege)

[MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-field-tested) [BOMBACI MÜLAYİM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/BOMBACI%20M%C3%9CLAY%C4%B0M) $2.50 $0.88 0.35x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [EARTHOGAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/EARTHOGAN) $2.50 $0.40 0.16x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC

[M4A1-S | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-battle-scarred) [Babyjane](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Babyjane) $2.50 $0.90 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC

[M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) [alk0460](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/alk0460) $2.50 $0.37 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [Spider-Plant](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Spider-Plant) $2.50 $0.47 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [vDudzerFul](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/vDudzerFul) $2.50 $0.47 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) [McQ Pesho Kibrita](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/McQ%20Pesho%20Kibrita) $2.50 $0.56 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [jesin1.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/jesin1.) $2.50 $0.40 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC

[M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-minimal-wear) [Piratebay777](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Piratebay777) $2.50 $0.81 0.32x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [RafaelDead](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/RafaelDead) $2.50 $0.40 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 22.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $22.04 on average: an expected loss of $77.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
