--- title: "The Monster case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Monster ($2.50) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 22.23% over 641 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster rendered: 2026-11-12T05:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [The Monster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · The Monster A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=all) Price · $2.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 22.23% · 641 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 87 openings · below min 7 days · 465 openings · below min 30 days · 641 openings · below min since tracking started · 641 openings · below min 20.5% 22.5% 24.5% **Small sample.** 641 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=24h) | 87 | 22.41% ±1.44 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=7d) | 465 | 21.99% ±0.53 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster) | 641 | 22.23% ±0.46 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/promo-the-monster?window=all) | 641 | 22.23% ±0.46 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=promo-the-monster) [AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) [|ScorpionX11](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%7CScorpionX11) $2.50 $0.69 0.28x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) [DATBRİTE](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/DATBR%C4%B0TE) $2.50 $0.45 0.18x 2026-11-12 03:49 UTC [USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-well-worn) [PedoPolle](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PedoPolle) $2.50 $0.76 0.30x 2026-11-12 02:45 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [aldin-](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/aldin-) $2.50 $0.61 0.24x 2026-11-12 01:31 UTC [P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-minimal-wear) [MiniMatylda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MiniMatylda) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) [Westian](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Westian) $2.50 $0.45 0.18x 2026-11-11 23:28 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) [marioleank](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/marioleank) $2.50 $0.45 0.18x 2026-11-11 23:14 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) [Teo22](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Teo22) $2.50 $0.45 0.18x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-battle-scarred) [zajka](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zajka) $2.50 $0.42 0.17x 2026-11-11 23:04 UTC [P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-tide-minimal-wear) [Cashew](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Cashew) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-11 22:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 22.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $22.23 on average: an expected loss of $77.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt