--- title: "Fracture case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fracture ($0.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.61% over 2,832 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture rendered: 2026-11-12T04:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Fracture](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Fracture A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=all) Price · $0.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.61% · 2,832 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 225 openings · below min 7 days · 91.57% ±15.47 2,054 openings 30 days · 89.61% ±12.90 2,832 openings since tracking started · 89.61% ±12.90 2,832 openings 61.5% 134.2% 207.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=24h) | 225 | 134.25% ±72.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=7d) | 2,054 | 91.57% ±15.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture) | 2,832 | 89.61% ±12.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-fracture?window=all) | 2,832 | 89.61% ±12.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=steam-fracture) [Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-field-tested) [MR-BEANZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MR-BEANZ) $0.99 $0.40 0.40x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [coolbenel](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/coolbenel) $0.99 $3.79 3.83x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) [キャンディーアップル](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%83%AB) $0.99 $0.16 0.16x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-battle-scarred) [MR-BEANZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MR-BEANZ) $0.99 $0.12 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-minimal-wear) [coolbenel](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/coolbenel) $0.99 $0.70 0.71x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-well-worn) [キャンディーアップル](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%83%AB) $0.99 $0.11 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [MR-BEANZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MR-BEANZ) $0.99 $3.78 3.82x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-field-tested) [coolbenel](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/coolbenel) $0.99 $0.38 0.38x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [PP-Bizon | Runic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-battle-scarred) [キャンディーアップル](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%83%AB) $0.99 $0.12 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC [SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-field-tested) [MR-BEANZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MR-BEANZ) $0.99 $0.10 0.10x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.61 on average: an expected loss of $10.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt