--- title: "Recoil case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Recoil ($0.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.77% over 1,307 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil rendered: 2026-11-12T01:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Recoil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Recoil A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=all) Price · $0.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.77% · 1,307 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 178 openings · below min 7 days · 993 openings · below min 30 days · 79.77% ±11.79 1,307 openings since tracking started · 79.77% ±11.79 1,307 openings 57.0% 102.3% 147.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=24h) | 178 | 102.14% ±44.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=7d) | 993 | 78.23% ±13.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil) | 1,307 | 79.77% ±11.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-recoil?window=all) | 1,307 | 79.77% ±11.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=steam-recoil) [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) [Skiautere nesveikas .:one Tap:.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Skiautere%20nesveikas%20.%3Aone%20Tap%3A.) $0.99 $0.67 0.68x 2026-11-11 23:57 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [Skiautere nesveikas .:one Tap:.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Skiautere%20nesveikas%20.%3Aone%20Tap%3A.) $0.99 $0.15 0.15x 2026-11-11 23:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) [mangaroTTi](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mangaroTTi) $0.99 $0.10 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-roadblock-factory-new) [mangaroTTi](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mangaroTTi) $0.99 $0.53 0.54x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) [mangaroTTi](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mangaroTTi) $0.99 $5.15 5.20x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [mangaroTTi](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mangaroTTi) $0.99 $0.42 0.42x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-field-tested) [mangaroTTi](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mangaroTTi) $0.99 $0.09 0.09x 2026-11-11 22:28 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-minimal-wear) [oyun28076](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/oyun28076) $0.99 $0.87 0.88x 2026-11-11 21:51 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-minimal-wear) [Kristó](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Krist%C3%B3) $0.99 $0.95 0.96x 2026-11-11 21:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $0.12 0.12x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.77 on average: an expected loss of $20.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt