--- title: "Shadow Collection case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shadow Collection ($0.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.19% over 4,455 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow rendered: 2026-11-11T22:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Shadow Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Shadow Collection A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=all) Price · $0.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.19% · 4,455 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 145 openings · below min 7 days · 85.07% ±6.06 3,599 openings 30 days · 89.19% ±6.63 4,455 openings since tracking started · 89.19% ±6.63 4,455 openings 64.5% 101.5% 138.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=24h) | 145 | 101.64% ±36.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=7d) | 3,599 | 85.07% ±6.06 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow) | 4,455 | 89.19% ±6.63 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/steam-shadow?window=all) | 4,455 | 89.19% ±6.63 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [HotGamerDude](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/HotGamerDude) $0.99 $69.67 70.37x 2026-11-03 14:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) [//ERROR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%2F%2FERROR) $0.99 $63.35 63.99x 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Raheem\_Brakus](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Raheem_Brakus) $0.99 $56.23 56.80x 2026-11-03 00:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=steam-shadow) [MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-field-tested) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $0.37 0.37x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-factory-new) [BLASTER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/BLASTER) $0.99 $1.05 1.06x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-field-tested) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $0.26 0.26x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) [Ardit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Ardit) $0.99 $1.21 1.22x 2026-11-11 21:37 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-minimal-wear) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $1.68 1.70x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) [Ardit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Ardit) $0.99 $1.11 1.12x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-minimal-wear) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $5.15 5.20x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-minimal-wear) [Ardit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Ardit) $0.99 $1.68 1.70x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-battle-scarred) [JAGUAR](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JAGUAR) $0.99 $0.35 0.35x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC [FAMAS | Survivor Z (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-field-tested) [Night Shimmercakes](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Night%20Shimmercakes) $0.99 $0.36 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $69.67 (70.37x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.19 on average: an expected loss of $10.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt