--- title: "Graf Ricksaw case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Graf Ricksaw ($14.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.07% over 5,861 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw rendered: 2026-11-11T22:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Graf Ricksaw](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Graf Ricksaw A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=all) Price · $14.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.07% · 5,861 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 114 openings · below min 7 days · 84.38% ±5.81 2,586 openings 30 days · 89.07% ±3.86 5,861 openings since tracking started · 89.07% ±3.86 5,861 openings 55.0% 75.8% 96.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=24h) | 114 | 75.83% ±20.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=7d) | 2,586 | 84.38% ±5.81 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw) | 5,861 | 89.07% ±3.86 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-graf-ricksaw?window=all) | 5,861 | 89.07% ±3.86 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=trend-graf-ricksaw) [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) [CEDY](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/CEDY) $14.99 $8.45 0.56x 2026-11-11 14:42 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) [Logiryu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Logiryu) $14.99 $3.45 0.23x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) [yazankadro02](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/yazankadro02) $14.99 $5.07 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $16.57 1.11x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $3.55 0.24x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AWP | Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $22.23 1.48x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $82.46 5.50x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $3.45 0.23x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $5.10 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [AWP | Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) [Legenda](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Legenda) $14.99 $38.20 2.55x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.07 on average: an expected loss of $10.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt