--- title: "Witch case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Witch ($2.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.21% over 9,576 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch rendered: 2026-11-11T17:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Witch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Witch A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=all) Price · $2.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.21% · 9,576 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.25% ±9.21 2,082 openings 7 days · 85.85% ±4.23 8,099 openings 30 days · 86.21% ±3.84 9,576 openings since tracking started · 86.21% ±3.84 9,576 openings 81.0% 91.0% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=24h) | 2,082 | 91.25% ±9.21 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=7d) | 8,099 | 85.85% ±4.23 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch) | 9,576 | 86.21% ±3.84 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/trend-witch?window=all) | 9,576 | 86.21% ±3.84 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=trend-witch) [P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-minimal-wear) [polak](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/polak) $2.99 $0.87 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $12.40 4.15x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $5.75 1.92x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [USP-S | Silent Shot (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-factory-new) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $1.65 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $0.42 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $0.45 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) [Maze \[ibtJ\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Maze%20%5BibtJ%5D) $2.99 $1.76 0.59x 2026-11-11 14:51 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) [.l.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/.l.) $2.99 $0.88 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-minimal-wear) [.l.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/.l.) $2.99 $33.51 11.21x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [USP-S | Silent Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-silent-shot-minimal-wear) [.l.](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/.l.) $2.99 $0.63 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.21 on average: an expected loss of $13.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt