--- title: "Prove It case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prove It ($29.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.53% over 433 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Prove It](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Prove It A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=all) Price · $29.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.53% · 433 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 257 openings · below min 30 days · 433 openings · below min since tracking started · 433 openings · below min 75.5% 106.7% 138.0% **Small sample.** 433 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=24h) | 29 | 106.88% ±30.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=7d) | 257 | 89.63% ±11.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it) | 433 | 89.53% ±9.72 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/wanted-prove-it?window=all) | 433 | 89.53% ±9.72 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $99.99 $557 5.57x 2026-11-06 22:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=wanted-prove-it) [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $67.74 0.68x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $36.54 0.37x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $86.79 0.87x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $107 1.07x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $36.54 0.37x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $121 1.21x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $121 1.21x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $43.80 0.44x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $46.40 0.46x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [lifeLESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/lifeLESS) $99.99 $234 2.34x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $557 (5.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.53 on average: an expected loss of $10.47 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt