---
title: "Ocean Dream case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ocean Dream ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.87% from 51 items with odds, observed 88.60% over 4,924 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ocean Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ocean Dream

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 88.87% · EV $13.33 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.60% · 4,924 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 99.13% ±13.29 513 openings

7 days · 87.34% ±4.63 4,227 openings

30 days · 88.60% ±4.29 4,924 openings

since tracking started · 88.60% ±4.29 4,924 openings

82.0% 97.5% 113.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=24h) | 513 | 99.13% ±13.3 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=7d) | 4,227 | 87.34% ±4.63 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100) | 4,924 | 88.60% ±4.29 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100?window=all) | 4,924 | 88.60% ±4.29 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,941 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $763 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $598 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $524 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $419 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $392 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $319 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $267 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $204 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 602 | $151 | 1.9% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 541 | $135 | 1.9% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 498 | $124 | 1.9% | 11 | 9.9 | 1.11× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 429 | $107 | 1.9% | 6 | 11.5 | 0.52× |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 263 | $84.21 | 2.4% | 15 | 18.8 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 262 | $83.93 | 2.4% | 23 | 18.8 | 1.22× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $79.49 | 2.4% | 25 | 19.9 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $75.33 | 2.4% | 28 | 21.0 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 228 | $72.99 | 2.4% | 22 | 21.6 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $71.09 | 2.4% | 23 | 22.2 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $67.57 | 9.2% | 107 | 89.7 | 1.19× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $64.85 | 9.2% | 83 | 93.5 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $47.73 | 9.2% | 133 | 127.0 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $30.73 | 7.8% | 153 | 166.9 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $22.79 | 7.8% | 230 | 225.1 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $21.85 | 7.8% | 215 | 234.7 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $21.59 | 7.8% | 212 | 237.6 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $15.20 | 7.8% | 326 | 337.4 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $13.27 | 0.6% | 24 | 27.3 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $11.66 | 0.6% | 40 | 31.1 | 1.29× |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $11.48 | 0.6% | 33 | 31.6 | 1.05× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $10.33 | 0.6% | 49 | 35.1 | 1.40× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $8.37 | 0.6% | 48 | 43.3 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 103 | $7.57 | 0.6% | 46 | 47.9 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $6.25 | 0.5% | 64 | 58.0 | 1.10× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $4.90 | 0.6% | 94 | 74.0 | 1.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $4.31 | 0.5% | 87 | 84.0 | 1.04× |
| [MP5-SD \| Condition Zero (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $4.06 | 0.6% | 90 | 89.2 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $4.02 | 0.6% | 86 | 90.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $3.86 | 0.6% | 103 | 93.9 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $3.85 | 0.6% | 102 | 94.1 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $2.10 | 0.6% | 170 | 172.5 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.01 | 0.6% | 187 | 180.2 | 1.04× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $1.89 | 0.2% | 69 | 64.0 | 1.08× |
| [MP5-SD \| Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $1.68 | 0.2% | 66 | 72.0 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $1.47 | 0.2% | 82 | 82.4 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $1.11 | 0.2% | 99 | 109.0 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.84 | 0.2% | 147 | 144.1 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.73 | 0.2% | 169 | 165.8 | 1.02× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 188 | 183.4 | 1.03× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.41 | 0.2% | 292 | 295.3 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.31 | 0.2% | 403 | 390.5 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $0.20 | 0.2% | 576 | 606.4 | 0.95× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/100`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=100)

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.00 $0.41 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) [Guanoqthemorisskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Guanoqthemorisskins.army) $15.00 $22.79 1.52x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) [wojda8skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/wojda8skins.army) $15.00 $22.79 1.52x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.02 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) [Steapy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steapy) $15.00 $4.90 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 $0.84 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $2.10 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.00 $13.27 0.88x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [𝔭𝔞𝔤𝔞](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%94%AD%F0%9D%94%9E%F0%9D%94%A4%F0%9D%94%9E) $15.00 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $15.00 | 88.87% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.5% restricted 11.5% classified 16.8% #eb4b4b 0.4% pink 4.8% mil spec 7.4% #4b69ff 15.9% Rare 6.4% #8847ff 22.1% milspec 12.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt