---
title: "Goldson v2 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Goldson v2 ($40.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 17 items with odds, observed 80.60% over 676 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Goldson v2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Goldson v2

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=all)

Price · $40.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $35.54 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.60% · 676 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 50 openings · below min

7 days · 72.57% ±32.78 579 openings

30 days · 80.60% ±30.34 676 openings

since tracking started · 80.60% ±30.34 676 openings

-0.5% 87.5% 175.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=24h) | 50 | 63.16% ±111.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=7d) | 579 | 72.57% ±32.8 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079) | 676 | 80.60% ±30.3 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009079?window=all) | 676 | 80.60% ±30.3 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 676 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $9,115 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $1,460 | 6.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× |
| [Sticker \| Skadoodle (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 302 | $668 | 6.2% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $338 | 6.2% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $245 | 6.2% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $225 | 6.2% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $138 | 6.2% | 7 | 10.8 | 0.65× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $109 | 6.2% | 17 | 13.7 | 1.24× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $78.05 | 6.2% | 18 | 19.1 | 0.94× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $73.24 | 6.2% | 16 | 20.4 | 0.79× |
| [Sticker \| m0NESY (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 32 | $71.08 | 6.2% | 22 | 21.0 | 1.05× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $69.80 | 6.2% | 27 | 21.4 | 1.26× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $54.25 | 6.2% | 26 | 27.5 | 0.95× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $52.20 | 6.2% | 22 | 28.6 | 0.77× |
| [Sticker \| CeRq (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cerq-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 19 | $41.65 | 6.2% | 32 | 35.8 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $35.16 | 6.2% | 38 | 42.4 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) | 61.4% | $0.56 | 1.0% | 436 | 414.8 | 1.05× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1009079`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $40.00 $1,460 36.51x 2026-11-10 11:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $40.00 $1,460 36.51x 2026-11-04 09:42 UTC

[Sticker | Skadoodle (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $40.00 $668 16.69x 2026-11-08 17:44 UTC

[Sticker | Skadoodle (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $40.00 $668 16.69x 2026-11-06 23:06 UTC

[Sticker | Skadoodle (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $40.00 $668 16.69x 2026-11-04 18:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1009079)

[★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.00 $338 8.45x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) Hidden $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) [serek.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/serek.) $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC

[MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.00 $35.16 0.88x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) Hidden $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) [olusxv.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/olusxv.) $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) Hidden $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $40.00 $69.80 1.74x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) Hidden $40.00 $52.20 1.31x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[Sticker | Fools Gold Wave Rider sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fools-gold-wave-rider) [zin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/zin) $40.00 $0.56 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $40.00 | 88.84% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 12.6% #eb4b4b 5.6% extraordinary 8.0% restricted 3.0% red 3.1% #8847ff 6.3% Rare 61.4% best hit $1,460 (36.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt