--- title: "SLAX case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SLAX ($60.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.87% from 10 items with odds, observed 80.82% over 878 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SLAX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SLAX A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=all) Price · $60.00 Advertised RTP · 88.87% · EV $53.32 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.82% · 878 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 73.04% ±35.30 140 openings 7 days · 82.21% ±16.02 680 openings 30 days · 80.82% ±14.09 878 openings since tracking started · 80.82% ±14.09 878 openings 37.0% 73.0% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=24h) | 140 | 73.04% ±35.3 | −0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=7d) | 680 | 82.21% ±16.0 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089) | 878 | 80.82% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1009089?window=all) | 878 | 80.82% ±14.1 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 880 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 225 | $1,334 | 11.1% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $417 | 11.1% | 10 | 12.5 | 0.80× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $373 | 11.1% | 15 | 14.0 | 1.07× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $361 | 11.1% | 14 | 14.4 | 0.97× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $251 | 11.1% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $217 | 11.1% | 27 | 24.0 | 1.13× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $176 | 11.1% | 32 | 29.6 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $62.89 | 11.1% | 79 | 82.9 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 12.6% | $47.05 | 11.1% | 111 | 110.8 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| drop \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) | 64.5% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 572 | 567.2 | 1.01× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1009089`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $60.00 $1,334 22.23x 2026-11-06 14:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1009089) [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $60.00 $251 4.19x 2026-11-11 22:37 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) [olejarzkrzysztof26](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/olejarzkrzysztof26) $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:37 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) [PashaBisekss skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PashaBisekss%20skins.army) $60.00 $47.05 0.78x 2026-11-11 22:37 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) Hidden $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) Hidden $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) Hidden $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $60.00 $62.89 1.05x 2026-11-11 22:35 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $60.00 $176 2.93x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) Hidden $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [Sticker | drop | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drop-paris-2023) [Czarny Eriko](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Czarny%20Eriko) $60.00 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $60.00 | 88.87% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.2% sunny 6.7% gold 1.6% classified 9.4% Restricted 12.6% #D2D2D2 64.5% best hit $1,334 (22.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt