--- title: "Gwizdakk case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gwizdakk ($45.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 21 items with odds, observed 93.18% over 1,808 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Gwizdakk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Gwizdakk A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=all) Price · $45.00 Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $39.97 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.18% · 1,808 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.98% ±21.55 389 openings 7 days · 89.87% ±10.97 1,502 openings 30 days · 93.18% ±10.00 1,808 openings since tracking started · 93.18% ±10.00 1,808 openings 75.0% 97.0% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=24h) | 389 | 96.98% ±21.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=7d) | 1,502 | 89.87% ±11.0 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922) | 1,808 | 93.18% ±10.00 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011922?window=all) | 1,808 | 93.18% ±10.00 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,820 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $1,329 | 5.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 481 | $958 | 5.0% | 8 | 3.8 | 2.11× | | [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) | 1 in 298 | $593 | 5.0% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.31× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 235 | $470 | 5.0% | 3 | 7.7 | 0.39× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $342 | 5.0% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 151 | $301 | 5.0% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $276 | 5.0% | 13 | 13.2 | 0.99× | | [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $224 | 5.0% | 24 | 16.2 | 1.48× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $169 | 5.0% | 28 | 21.5 | 1.30× | | [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $158 | 5.0% | 23 | 23.1 | 1.00× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $152 | 5.0% | 21 | 24.0 | 0.88× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $114 | 5.0% | 26 | 31.9 | 0.82× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $108 | 5.0% | 30 | 33.7 | 0.89× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $102 | 5.0% | 38 | 35.5 | 1.07× | | [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $97.69 | 5.0% | 26 | 37.2 | 0.70× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $52.79 | 5.0% | 65 | 68.8 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $43.65 | 5.0% | 95 | 83.2 | 1.14× | | [AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $29.14 | 5.0% | 114 | 124.7 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $27.57 | 5.0% | 127 | 131.8 | 0.96× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $26.81 | 5.0% | 131 | 135.5 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) | 54.8% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 1,015 | 996.8 | 1.02× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1011922`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) Hidden $45.00 $1,329 29.54x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) Hidden $45.00 $1,329 29.54x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) [𝔭𝔞𝔤𝔞](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%94%AD%F0%9D%94%9E%F0%9D%94%A4%F0%9D%94%9E) $45.00 $1,329 29.54x 2026-11-05 16:56 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-09 15:29 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-06 20:08 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-03 15:47 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-03 13:38 UTC [AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.00 $958 21.29x 2026-11-03 09:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1011922) [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) Hidden $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $45.00 $26.81 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $45.00 $43.65 0.97x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $45.00 $26.81 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) Hidden $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) Hidden $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) Hidden $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [Sticker | Good Sports sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-sports) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $45.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $45.00 $52.79 1.17x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $45.00 | 88.82% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 5.3% covert 2.4% #d32ee6 0.3% sunny 0.4% #ffd700 0.6% extraordinary 3.1% restricted 13.1% red 1.8% gold 1.9% violet 2.0% Restricted 14.3% #4b69ff 54.8% best hit $1,329 (29.54x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt