---
title: "Ice King case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ice King ($100.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 40 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ice King](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ice King

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=all)

Price · $100.00

Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $88.90 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021873?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,675 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $5,257 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,448 | $4,610 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,381 | $3,157 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $1,827 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,176 | $1,576 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $1,209 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $1,107 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 794 | $1,058 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 194 | $982 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $883 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $617 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $451 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $308 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $270 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $225 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $193 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $181 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $151 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $131 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $118 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $109 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $108 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 246 | $70.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 180 | $51.84 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $34.80 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $23.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $18.67 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $9.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $7.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $5.12 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $0.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1021873`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1021873)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $100 | 88.90% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.1% extraordinary 11.9% Covert 0.1% epic 0.6% #ffd700 0.8% Extraordinary 1.1% classified 16.0% covert knife 1.9% restricted 7.1% red 3.2% violet 8.8% mil spec 20.7% #4b69ff 12.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt