---
title: "CZ75 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CZ75 ($3.40) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 63 items with odds, observed 87.69% over 12.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [CZ75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · CZ75

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=all)

Price · $3.40

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $3.02 from 63 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.69% · 12.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.29% ±11.50 1,752 openings

7 days · 87.22% ±4.73 10.4K openings

30 days · 87.69% ±4.33 12.3K openings

since tracking started · 87.69% ±4.33 12.3K openings

77.0% 89.3% 101.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=24h) | 1,752 | 89.29% ±11.5 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=7d) | 10.4K | 87.22% ±4.73 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104) | 12.3K | 87.69% ±4.33 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/104?window=all) | 12.3K | 87.69% ±4.33 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $523 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $436 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $300 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $139 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $120 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $92.65 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.54× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $89.41 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 893 | $67.57 | 2.5% | 14 | 13.9 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 855 | $64.83 | 2.5% | 17 | 14.5 | 1.17× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 840 | $64.04 | 2.5% | 14 | 14.7 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-well-worn) | 1 in 699 | $53.08 | 2.5% | 19 | 17.7 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 459 | $34.83 | 2.5% | 32 | 27.0 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $33.36 | 2.3% | 30 | 26.0 | 1.15× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 446 | $31.23 | 2.3% | 22 | 27.7 | 0.79× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $28.01 | 2.3% | 23 | 30.9 | 0.74× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-well-worn) | 1 in 391 | $27.36 | 2.3% | 33 | 31.7 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $15.15 | 2.3% | 59 | 57.1 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $14.91 | 2.3% | 57 | 58.1 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 191 | $13.38 | 2.3% | 70 | 64.8 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $13.30 | 2.3% | 57 | 65.2 | 0.87× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 181 | $12.69 | 2.3% | 62 | 68.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $11.67 | 2.3% | 69 | 74.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 127 | $8.88 | 2.3% | 86 | 97.6 | 0.88× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $8.88 | 2.3% | 118 | 97.6 | 1.21× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) | 1 in 114 | $7.98 | 2.3% | 113 | 108.6 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $7.83 | 2.3% | 130 | 110.7 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $7.28 | 2.3% | 131 | 119.0 | 1.10× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $5.79 | 4.7% | 290 | 306.3 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $5.64 | 4.7% | 306 | 314.3 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $4.90 | 4.7% | 332 | 361.8 | 0.92× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $4.79 | 4.7% | 347 | 370.1 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-twist-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.41 | 4.7% | 396 | 402.0 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.93 | 4.7% | 439 | 451.1 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $2.71 | 0.7% | 107 | 97.0 | 1.10× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $2.62 | 0.7% | 99 | 100.3 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $2.56 | 0.7% | 112 | 102.7 | 1.09× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $2.53 | 0.7% | 104 | 103.9 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $2.46 | 0.7% | 97 | 106.9 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113 | $2.40 | 0.7% | 97 | 109.5 | 0.89× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $2.17 | 0.7% | 121 | 121.1 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2.12 | 0.7% | 140 | 123.9 | 1.13× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Vendetta (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-vendetta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $1.61 | 0.7% | 171 | 163.3 | 1.05× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Indigo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 75 | $1.60 | 0.7% | 147 | 164.3 | 0.89× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $1.53 | 0.7% | 147 | 171.8 | 0.86× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $1.52 | 0.7% | 160 | 172.9 | 0.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $1.49 | 0.7% | 165 | 176.4 | 0.94× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $1.30 | 0.7% | 206 | 202.2 | 1.02× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $1.29 | 0.7% | 227 | 203.7 | 1.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $1.21 | 0.7% | 222 | 217.2 | 1.02× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $1.11 | 0.6% | 221 | 199.0 | 1.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Vendetta (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-vendetta-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $1.06 | 0.6% | 199 | 208.4 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $1.03 | 0.6% | 213 | 214.5 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $0.96 | 0.6% | 223 | 230.1 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 266 | 276.1 | 0.96× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $0.68 | 0.6% | 343 | 324.8 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Vendetta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-vendetta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.54 | 0.6% | 413 | 409.1 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.50 | 0.6% | 479 | 441.7 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.46 | 0.6% | 508 | 480.2 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.35 | 0.6% | 658 | 631.1 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.29 | 0.6% | 721 | 761.7 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.29 | 0.6% | 803 | 761.7 | 1.05× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.26 | 0.6% | 823 | 849.6 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.25 | 0.6% | 903 | 902.6 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/104`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[CZ75-Auto | Chalice (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.40 $523 153.7x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=104)

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-twist-factory-new) Hidden $3.40 $4.41 1.30x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-field-tested) Hidden $3.40 $0.35 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) [C4rtii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/C4rtii) $3.40 $5.64 1.66x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $3.40 $4.90 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) [sowa #nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sowa%20%23nie) $3.40 $1.03 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.40 $14.91 4.39x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) [konrad skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/konrad%20skins.army) $3.40 $5.79 1.70x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-field-tested) Hidden $3.40 $0.29 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-factory-new) Hidden $3.40 $2.46 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.40 $0.50 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.40 | 88.88% | 63 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 11.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% mil spec 5.3% #d32ee6 0.3% #4b69ff 49.5% classified 4.4% Legendary 0.5% #d32ce6 0.5% Mythical 0.8% #8847ff 12.7% Restricted 2.5% #87c7ff 0.8% light blue 1.0% #777777 1.3% violet 1.4% Rare 7.8% best hit $523 (153.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt