--- title: "Farm it case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Farm it ($0.55) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.98% from 30 items with odds, observed 88.99% over 175K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Farm it](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Farm it A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=all) Price · $0.55 Advertised RTP · 88.98% · EV $0.49 from 30 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.99% · 175K openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.49% ±1.13 22.9K openings 7 days · 88.96% ±0.45 145K openings 30 days · 88.99% ±0.41 175K openings since tracking started · 88.99% ±0.41 175K openings 86.5% 88.5% 90.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=24h) | 22.9K | 88.49% ±1.13 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=7d) | 145K | 88.96% ±0.45 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109) | 175K | 88.99% ±0.41 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/109?window=all) | 175K | 88.99% ±0.41 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 175K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 952 | $6.50 | 1.4% | 168 | 183.9 | 0.91× | | [P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 752 | $5.13 | 1.4% | 211 | 233.0 | 0.91× | | [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 413 | $2.82 | 1.4% | 451 | 423.9 | 1.06× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-well-worn) | 1 in 368 | $2.50 | 1.4% | 487 | 476.5 | 1.02× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-well-worn) | 1 in 365 | $2.49 | 1.4% | 471 | 480.0 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $2.15 | 1.4% | 565 | 555.3 | 1.02× | | [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 1 in 301 | $2.05 | 1.4% | 575 | 581.6 | 0.99× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 272 | $1.85 | 1.4% | 612 | 644.6 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 265 | $1.80 | 1.4% | 648 | 662.1 | 0.98× | | [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 238 | $1.62 | 1.4% | 775 | 735.7 | 1.05× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $1.56 | 1.4% | 782 | 765.5 | 1.02× | | [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $1.51 | 1.4% | 816 | 790.0 | 1.03× | | [SG 553 \| Triarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 207 | $1.41 | 1.4% | 865 | 846.1 | 1.02× | | [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $1.38 | 1.4% | 897 | 865.3 | 1.04× | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $1.23 | 1.4% | 912 | 970.4 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $1.13 | 1.4% | 1,055 | 1056.3 | 1.00× | | [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $1.05 | 6.2% | 5,083 | 5053.7 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $0.94 | 6.2% | 5,651 | 5644.0 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.76 | 6.2% | 6,927 | 6980.5 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.70 | 6.2% | 7,605 | 7577.9 | 1.00× | | [P90 \| Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.66 | 6.2% | 8,107 | 8038.6 | 1.01× | | [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.65 | 6.2% | 8,300 | 8161.2 | 1.02× | | [P90 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.55 | 6.2% | 9,692 | 9644.9 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.51 | 4.9% | 8,134 | 8243.5 | 0.99× | | [M249 \| System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.51 | 4.9% | 8,288 | 8243.5 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.34 | 4.9% | 12,390 | 12365.3 | 1.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.33 | 4.9% | 12,718 | 12740.1 | 1.00× | | [P90 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.29 | 4.9% | 14,434 | 14497.1 | 1.00× | | [Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 12.6% | $0.19 | 4.9% | 22,046 | 22127.5 | 1.00× | | [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) | 20.3% | $0.12 | 5.0% | 35,505 | 35582.3 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/109`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=109) [P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.55 $0.29 0.53x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.55 $0.19 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.55 $0.29 0.53x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) [Bartek to ciota! case.gifts](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartek%20to%20ciota!%20case.gifts) $0.55 $1.23 2.24x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC [XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $0.55 $0.76 1.38x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) [P1mple skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/P1mple%20skins.army) $0.55 $0.12 0.22x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) Hidden $0.55 $0.51 0.93x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-field-tested) [P1mple skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/P1mple%20skins.army) $0.55 $0.55 1.00x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) Hidden $0.55 $0.65 1.18x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) [P1mple skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/P1mple%20skins.army) $0.55 $1.05 1.91x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.55 | 88.98% | 30 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 14.0% #4b69ff 61.7% restricted 4.2% #8847ff 2.5% Mythical 0.4% classified 0.6% Rare 4.0% industrial 12.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.98 on average: an expected loss of $11.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt