---
title: "Beast case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Beast ($2.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.97% from 53 items with odds, observed 89.97% over 55.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Beast

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=all)

Price · $2.70

Advertised RTP · 88.97% · EV $2.40 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.97% · 55.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.90% ±4.18 9,004 openings

7 days · 89.84% ±1.86 46.6K openings

30 days · 89.97% ±1.71 55.8K openings

since tracking started · 89.97% ±1.71 55.8K openings

87.5% 93.0% 98.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=24h) | 9,004 | 93.90% ±4.18 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=7d) | 46.6K | 89.84% ±1.86 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112) | 55.8K | 89.97% ±1.71 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/112?window=all) | 55.8K | 89.97% ±1.71 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $433 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.38× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $234 | 0.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $233 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $230 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $134 | 0.4% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.56× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $131 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $128 | 0.5% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.19× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 11,111 | $123 | 0.5% | 2 | 5.1 | 0.40× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $74.45 | 0.5% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $53.64 | 0.4% | 16 | 11.2 | 1.43× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $39.06 | 0.5% | 19 | 15.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $38.42 | 0.4% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 3,448 | $36.93 | 0.4% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $31.48 | 0.5% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $28.75 | 0.5% | 25 | 21.3 | 1.17× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 376 | $22.22 | 2.5% | 133 | 149.3 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 372 | $21.97 | 2.5% | 156 | 151.0 | 1.03× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 249 | $14.71 | 2.5% | 211 | 225.6 | 0.94× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 231 | $13.65 | 2.5% | 200 | 243.0 | 0.82× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $12.82 | 2.5% | 209 | 258.7 | 0.81× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $11.26 | 2.5% | 267 | 294.7 | 0.91× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 187 | $11.07 | 2.5% | 248 | 299.7 | 0.83× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $7.44 | 2.5% | 416 | 445.6 | 0.93× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $6.67 | 2.5% | 442 | 497.3 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $6.23 | 2.5% | 507 | 532.1 | 0.95× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $5.51 | 2.5% | 561 | 601.6 | 0.93× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $5.23 | 5.5% | 1,127 | 1425.0 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $4.39 | 5.5% | 1,751 | 1697.8 | 1.03× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $4.22 | 5.5% | 1,765 | 1765.7 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $4.11 | 5.5% | 1,811 | 1813.4 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $3.91 | 5.5% | 1,932 | 1906.0 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $3.77 | 5.5% | 2,013 | 1976.7 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $3.58 | 5.5% | 2,036 | 2081.6 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $3.58 | 5.5% | 2,125 | 2081.6 | 1.02× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $3.33 | 5.5% | 2,234 | 2237.7 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $2.12 | 1.4% | 853 | 886.8 | 0.96× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $1.43 | 1.4% | 1,242 | 1315.0 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $1.27 | 1.4% | 1,435 | 1480.6 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.06 | 1.4% | 1,578 | 1773.5 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.99 | 1.4% | 1,755 | 1899.2 | 0.92× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.61 | 1.4% | 2,850 | 3082.3 | 0.92× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.59 | 1.4% | 2,880 | 3186.7 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.55 | 1.4% | 3,167 | 3418.5 | 0.93× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $0.46 | 0.5% | 1,544 | 1464.3 | 1.05× |
| [Patch \| Hydra patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-hydra) | 1 in 37 | $0.44 | 0.5% | 1,718 | 1530.5 | 1.12× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.43 | 0.5% | 1,616 | 1566.4 | 1.03× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 1,881 | 1642.7 | 1.15× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 1,852 | 1642.7 | 1.13× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.40 | 0.5% | 1,856 | 1683.7 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.36 | 0.5% | 2,115 | 1870.6 | 1.13× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.32 | 0.5% | 2,129 | 2104.7 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.31 | 0.5% | 2,393 | 2172.6 | 1.10× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.29 | 0.6% | 2,970 | 2581.7 | 1.15× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/112`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $2.70 $539 199.6x 2026-11-04 09:19 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Leonardo](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Leonardo) $2.70 $433 160.5x 2026-11-11 04:56 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $2.70 $433 160.5x 2026-11-10 18:22 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [deymos](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/deymos) $2.70 $433 160.5x 2026-11-07 20:27 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) [ムMV ♥ ♕ ツ 太](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E3%83%A0MV%20%E2%99%A5%20%E2%99%95%20%E3%83%84%20%E5%A4%AA) $2.70 $333 123.4x 2026-11-03 11:05 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [JAMAJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/JAMAJ) $2.70 $323 119.6x 2026-11-04 20:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) [Olis.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Olis.skins.army) $2.70 $250 92.58x 2026-11-06 11:04 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [Złoty chlopiec Paweł](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Z%C5%82oty%20chlopiec%20Pawe%C5%82) $2.70 $234 86.53x 2026-11-10 18:34 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [Kucyk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kucyk) $2.70 $234 86.53x 2026-11-08 22:45 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [urbixmeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/urbixmeister) $2.70 $234 86.53x 2026-11-06 15:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=112)

[XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) Hidden $2.70 $3.58 1.33x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P2000 | Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) Hidden $2.70 $0.59 0.22x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) [Litrox](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Litrox) $2.70 $1.43 0.53x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) Hidden $2.70 $0.55 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) Hidden $2.70 $0.99 0.37x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [Litrox](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Litrox) $2.70 $0.32 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) [Slowik (COACH) skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Slowik%20%28COACH%29%20skins.army) $2.70 $0.31 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) [SPENISON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SPENISON) $2.70 $0.55 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[MAC-10 | Allure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-battle-scarred) [Księciuniu.Skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Ksi%C4%99ciuniu.Skins.army) $2.70 $0.40 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) [N\_icień](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/N_icie%C5%84) $2.70 $0.41 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 13:17 UTC | $2.70 | 88.97% | 53 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $2.70 | 88.99% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #d32ce6 0.0% #d32ee6 11.7% classified 13.7% pink 4.9% Legendary 3.2% restricted 11.5% violet 2.3% mil spec 7.2% #8847ff 22.8% Rare 8.8% Mythical 2.6% milspec 3.3% #4b69ff 7.6% best hit $539 (199.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.97 on average: an expected loss of $11.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt