--- title: "Ocean Fang case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ocean Fang ($20.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 27 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ocean Fang](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ocean Fang A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=all) Price · $20.00 Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $17.76 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1128683?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $1,079 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $847 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,273 | $760 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $552 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $399 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $383 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $266 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 649 | $217 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 610 | $204 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 214 | $196 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 207 | $189 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $158 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 147 | $135 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $93.49 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $78.05 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $66.45 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $57.54 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $41.15 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $36.68 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $33.75 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $27.49 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $25.57 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $22.91 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $20.78 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $20.51 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $20.16 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 63.5% | $0.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1128683`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1128683) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 88.82% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.1% rare 0.1% covert 5.8% extraordinary 0.6% restricted 3.1% red 1.6% industrial 8.3% pink 3.0% mil spec 4.0% milspec 63.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt