---
title: "Gold Fury case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gold Fury ($2.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 27 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Gold Fury](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Gold Fury

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $2.22 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1166231?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $215 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $160 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $110 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $82.49 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $51.34 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,316 | $32.68 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $30.58 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,205 | $30.30 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $20.95 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 162 | $19.13 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $14.04 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $14.03 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 102 | $12.05 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $10.08 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $8.08 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $6.35 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $6.00 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $5.04 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $3.94 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $3.33 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $3.23 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $3.01 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $2.86 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $2.70 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.68 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $2.61 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-well-worn) | 60.3% | $0.07 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1166231`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1166231)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.95% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.0% classified 1.9% extraordinary 0.0% red 2.4% restricted 7.5% Legendary 7.0% pink 1.9% Mythical 2.0% mil spec 3.0% #eb4b4b 3.5% blue 3.7% #8847ff 3.7% #87c7ff 60.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt