---
title: "NEEX case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "NEEX ($8.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.20% from 42 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [NEEX](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · NEEX

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=all)

Price · $8.00

Advertised RTP · 89.20% · EV $7.14 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293026?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $355 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 794 | $290 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 699 | $256 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-battle-scarred) | 1 in 654 | $240 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 412 | $151 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 281 | $103 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 348 | $75.45 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 345 | $74.63 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 338 | $73.32 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 280 | $60.74 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $60.46 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 279 | $60.38 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 189 | $41.01 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $40.55 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $40.11 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $29.58 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $29.55 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $29.10 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $17.59 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $17.59 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $17.13 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $15.47 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $15.31 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $15.16 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $14.14 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $14.07 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $12.27 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $12.25 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $12.20 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $10.20 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $10.14 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 107 | $10.05 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $9.11 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $9.00 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $8.63 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $8.22 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $8.21 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 11.7% | $0.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-battle-scarred) | 12.9% | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Roadblock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-roadblock-battle-scarred) | 37.6% | $0.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1293026`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1293026)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 89.20% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.4% #ffd700 0.4% extraordinary 0.2% classified 7.1% #eb4b4b 0.3% red 3.2% mil spec 20.1% restricted 3.8% Legendary 1.8% #d32ee6 0.8% #d32ce6 0.8% #8847ff 5.6% #4b69ff 50.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.20 on average: an expected loss of $10.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt