---
title: "SzeliOficjalnie case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SzeliOficjalnie ($8.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.02% from 38 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SzeliOficjalnie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SzeliOficjalnie

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=all)

Price · $8.00

Advertised RTP · 89.02% · EV $7.12 from 38 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1293072?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $388 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $368 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $280 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 599 | $177 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 585 | $172 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 373 | $110 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 351 | $103 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 310 | $75.47 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 298 | $72.48 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 240 | $58.57 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 233 | $56.89 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $56.49 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $45.08 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $45.02 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $31.10 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $31.10 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 127 | $31.07 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $19.00 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $18.94 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $18.06 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $15.87 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $15.77 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $15.50 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 122 | $15.02 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 115 | $14.18 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $12.63 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $12.43 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $10.45 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $10.17 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $10.02 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $8.34 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $8.11 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $8.09 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 10.9% | $0.47 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) | 11.9% | $0.43 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 12.8% | $0.40 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 18.2% | $0.28 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-battle-scarred) | 21.3% | $0.24 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1293072`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1293072)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 89.02% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.5% extraordinary 0.5% classified 11.6% restricted 26.1% pink 0.8% Legendary 1.2% red 1.9% #8847ff 11.9% #4b69ff 18.2% mil spec 21.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.02 on average: an expected loss of $10.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt