---
title: "Fusion case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fusion ($6.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.11% from 61 items with odds, observed 89.52% over 12.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Fusion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Fusion

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 89.11% · EV $5.35 from 61 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.52% · 12.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.88% ±9.15 1,717 openings

7 days · 90.06% ±3.75 10.2K openings

30 days · 89.52% ±3.37 12.7K openings

since tracking started · 89.52% ±3.37 12.7K openings

83.0% 92.8% 102.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=24h) | 1,717 | 92.88% ±9.15 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=7d) | 10.2K | 90.06% ±3.75 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137) | 12.7K | 89.52% ±3.37 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/137?window=all) | 12.7K | 89.52% ±3.37 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $381 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $287 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12,500 | $274 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $219 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $209 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $207 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $161 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $128 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $127 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.32× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $122 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $120 | 0.4% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,762 | $109 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.38× |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $90.38 | 0.4% | 7 | 3.3 | 2.12× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 3,030 | $70.37 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $68.22 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 2,778 | $64.39 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.10× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $64.04 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $62.99 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.07× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 397 | $55.98 | 2.6% | 32 | 31.9 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 373 | $52.73 | 2.6% | 41 | 34.0 | 1.21× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 368 | $51.88 | 2.6% | 46 | 34.5 | 1.33× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 365 | $51.52 | 2.6% | 40 | 34.7 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 306 | $43.19 | 2.6% | 38 | 41.4 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 260 | $36.71 | 2.6% | 45 | 48.8 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 239 | $33.76 | 2.6% | 69 | 53.0 | 1.30× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 236 | $33.33 | 2.6% | 40 | 53.7 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 224 | $31.66 | 2.6% | 51 | 56.5 | 0.90× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $30.73 | 2.6% | 45 | 58.2 | 0.77× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 199 | $28.07 | 2.6% | 74 | 63.8 | 1.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $26.07 | 2.6% | 70 | 68.7 | 1.02× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $22.72 | 2.6% | 81 | 78.7 | 1.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 155 | $21.86 | 2.6% | 82 | 81.9 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $16.05 | 2.6% | 100 | 111.5 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $15.24 | 2.6% | 92 | 117.4 | 0.78× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $12.78 | 2.6% | 128 | 140.0 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $11.66 | 4.4% | 261 | 258.4 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $11.48 | 4.4% | 275 | 262.5 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $10.93 | 4.4% | 273 | 275.7 | 0.99× |
| [B Squadron Officer \| SAS agent · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/b-squadron-officer-sas) | 1 in 39 | $9.32 | 4.4% | 351 | 323.3 | 1.09× |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $8.43 | 4.4% | 311 | 357.5 | 0.87× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $8.05 | 4.4% | 376 | 374.4 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $7.68 | 4.4% | 396 | 392.4 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $7.07 | 4.4% | 407 | 426.2 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $6.02 | 4.4% | 511 | 500.6 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 224 | $5.86 | 0.5% | 55 | 56.5 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $5.56 | 0.5% | 58 | 59.6 | 0.97× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 197 | $5.16 | 0.5% | 60 | 64.3 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $4.20 | 0.5% | 83 | 79.0 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $3.81 | 0.5% | 72 | 86.9 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $3.48 | 0.5% | 103 | 95.3 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $2.19 | 0.5% | 162 | 151.3 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $2.08 | 0.5% | 164 | 159.3 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $1.98 | 0.5% | 167 | 167.4 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $1.80 | 0.5% | 204 | 184.2 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $1.23 | 0.5% | 246 | 269.4 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.81 | 0.5% | 442 | 409.2 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.63 | 0.5% | 519 | 526.1 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 514 | 514.9 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.15 | 0.2% | 1,088 | 1098.5 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 1,168 | 1176.9 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-minimal-wear) | 25.6% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 3,285 | 3249.0 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/137`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=137)

[Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $6.00 $0.15 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[B Squadron Officer | SAS agent · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/b-squadron-officer-sas) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $6.00 $9.32 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-minimal-wear) [Bartex](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartex) $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.00 $6.02 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-field-tested) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $6.00 $11.66 1.94x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [𝕊𝕖𝕟𝕤𝕖𝕚 𝕎](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%8A%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%F0%9D%95%A4%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9A%20%F0%9D%95%8E) $6.00 $0.63 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Galil AR | Sage Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sage-spray-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $6.00 $0.63 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) [𝕊𝕖𝕟𝕤𝕖𝕚 𝕎](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%8A%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%F0%9D%95%A4%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9A%20%F0%9D%95%8E) $6.00 $0.14 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) Hidden $6.00 $0.63 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $6.00 | 89.11% | 61 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% restricted 14.8% #eb4b4b 0.0% red 0.0% mil spec 3.3% #ffd700 0.3% classified 8.9% pink 0.8% #d32ee6 1.5% Mythical 3.9% #4b69ff 8.7% Legendary 4.5% industrial 12.0% milspec 2.9% Rare 2.6% #87c7ff 9.3% #777777 25.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.11 on average: an expected loss of $10.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt