---
title: "BAJMI case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "BAJMI ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 34 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [BAJMI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · BAJMI

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $8.88 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375914?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $430 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,786 | $322 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $295 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,205 | $218 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 926 | $168 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $156 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $128 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 694 | $126 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 621 | $113 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $107 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 578 | $105 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 184 | $83.42 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 181 | $82.05 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $58.61 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $48.33 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $25.30 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $24.64 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $23.75 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $22.97 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $22.65 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $22.27 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $21.90 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $19.38 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $16.07 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $15.06 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $14.16 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $13.42 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $12.69 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $12.66 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.47 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 15.7% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) | 36.9% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1375914`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1375914)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.82% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.0% covert 7.0% extraordinary 0.2% restricted 4.1% classified 14.7% red 2.0% #d32ce6 1.9% violet 4.7% mil spec 5.1% #4b69ff 60.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt