---
title: "SZELIS case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "SZELIS ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 30 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SZELIS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SZELIS

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $8.88 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $414 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,562 | $388 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $264 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $194 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 568 | $142 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 549 | $137 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 503 | $126 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 418 | $105 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 395 | $93.14 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 347 | $81.73 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 317 | $74.65 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 258 | $60.64 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $55.45 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $47.22 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $27.84 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $25.53 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $25.06 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $23.78 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $23.68 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $21.13 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $17.38 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $16.35 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $13.55 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $13.34 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $8.43 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.58 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.44 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.32 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) | 11.0% | $0.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 34.5% | $0.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1375943`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1375943)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.84% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.3% extraordinary 0.1% covert knife 0.1% classified 17.0% #ffd700 0.2% #eb4b4b 0.2% red 13.4% #d32ce6 1.0% violet 4.0% #8847ff 5.2% mil spec 7.2% #4b69ff 45.4%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt