---
title: "Fatek case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fatek ($45.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 39 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Fatek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Fatek

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=all)

Price · $45.00

Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $39.97 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1393800?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 2,381 | $2,363 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,244 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 694 | $695 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 649 | $651 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 606 | $608 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 481 | $480 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $453 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $445 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 233 | $387 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 184 | $307 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $206 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $158 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $142 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $103 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $92.05 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $91.30 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $89.80 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $86.81 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $81.18 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $59.40 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $58.72 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $47.89 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $46.68 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $46.38 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $44.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 289 | $36.98 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $28.95 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $15.39 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $9.04 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $5.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $3.10 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $3.03 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Co-Processor (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1393800`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1393800)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $45.00 | 88.82% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 27.3% extraordinary 0.6% restricted 13.5% epic 0.2% classified 16.6% red 0.3% #8847ff 9.2% Restricted 4.4% #4b69ff 9.1% mil spec 18.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt