---
title: "Azure case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Azure ($1.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 35 items with odds, observed 89.84% over 82.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Azure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Azure

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=all)

Price · $1.50

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $1.33 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.84% · 82.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.00% ±4.60 11.9K openings

7 days · 89.43% ±1.90 71.4K openings

30 days · 89.84% ±1.78 82.4K openings

since tracking started · 89.84% ±1.78 82.4K openings

83.5% 88.8% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=24h) | 11.9K | 89.00% ±4.60 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=7d) | 71.4K | 89.43% ±1.90 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140) | 82.4K | 89.84% ±1.78 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/140?window=all) | 82.4K | 89.84% ±1.78 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $98.38 | 1.5% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) | 1 in 5,000 | $95.40 | 1.4% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $38.69 | 1.5% | 38 | 41.2 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-faded-zebra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $38.47 | 1.4% | 38 | 41.2 | 0.92× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $36.95 | 1.4% | 44 | 42.9 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $31.04 | 1.4% | 52 | 51.1 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $28.82 | 1.4% | 63 | 55.3 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,282 | $24.94 | 1.5% | 60 | 64.3 | 0.93× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $23.96 | 1.5% | 66 | 66.8 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $23.83 | 1.4% | 70 | 66.8 | 1.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,042 | $20.16 | 1.5% | 149 | 79.2 | 1.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 847 | $16.40 | 1.5% | 105 | 97.3 | 1.08× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 806 | $15.59 | 1.5% | 94 | 102.3 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-field-tested) | 1 in 781 | $15.16 | 1.5% | 197 | 105.6 | 1.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $14.84 | 4.1% | 228 | 303.6 | 0.75× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 258 | $14.09 | 4.1% | 284 | 320.1 | 0.89× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 251 | $13.70 | 4.1% | 264 | 329.2 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 236 | $12.90 | 4.1% | 293 | 348.9 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $9.12 | 4.1% | 497 | 494.1 | 1.01× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $8.15 | 4.1% | 576 | 552.7 | 1.04× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $7.62 | 4.1% | 567 | 591.5 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $6.28 | 4.1% | 779 | 717.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $6.02 | 4.1% | 715 | 748.2 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $5.89 | 4.1% | 814 | 764.7 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $4.52 | 4.1% | 851 | 996.5 | 0.85× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $4.31 | 4.1% | 1,057 | 1045.2 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $3.59 | 4.1% | 1,340 | 1254.7 | 1.07× |
| [Nova \| Koi (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $2.58 | 3.4% | 1,331 | 1443.6 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $2.27 | 3.4% | 1,607 | 1640.8 | 0.98× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $2.21 | 3.4% | 1,634 | 1685.4 | 0.97× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $1.94 | 3.4% | 1,846 | 1919.6 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $1.85 | 3.4% | 1,791 | 2012.9 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $1.69 | 3.4% | 1,965 | 2203.4 | 0.89× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $1.67 | 3.4% | 2,054 | 2229.8 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) | 72.8% | $0.05 | 2.7% | 60,634 | 60044.1 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/140`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) [elo 9 lat nie gralem](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/elo%209%20lat%20nie%20gralem) $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-05 10:59 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) [P3IN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/P3IN) $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-05 09:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) Hidden $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-04 11:25 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) Hidden $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-03 23:00 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) Hidden $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-03 22:34 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-4) [mysiewiczkarol51](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mysiewiczkarol51) $1.50 $153 102.2x 2026-11-03 11:54 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $131 87.61x 2026-11-05 09:16 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [Z3BR4](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Z3BR4) $1.50 $131 87.61x 2026-11-04 08:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [♥MŁOŤ♥“skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%A5M%C5%81O%C5%A4%E2%99%A5%E2%80%9Cskins.army%E2%80%9D) $1.50 $131 87.61x 2026-11-03 19:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $98.38 65.59x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=140)

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 $6.28 4.19x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) [TABAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TABAK) $1.50 $6.02 4.01x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) [Tymjanek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tymjanek) $1.50 $5.89 3.93x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) [Gutek Pogromca Prostytutek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Gutek%20Pogromca%20Prostytutek) $1.50 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) [Ksiądz pedofil skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Ksi%C4%85dz%20pedofil%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $1.94 1.29x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $24.94 16.63x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) [Szymko1911 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Szymko1911%20skins.army) $1.50 $38.69 25.79x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.50 | 88.88% | 35 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $1.50 | 88.81% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.8% Rare 0.6% Mythical 0.1% #4b69ff 0.1% restricted 11.2% Legendary 1.0% industrial 1.0% pink 2.8% #8847ff 4.7% mil spec 2.6% #d32ee6 0.7% milspec 1.5% #87c7ff 72.8% best hit $153 (102.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt