---
title: "Disco case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Disco ($3.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.92% from 36 items with odds, observed 87.69% over 16.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Disco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Disco

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=all)

Price · $3.50

Advertised RTP · 88.92% · EV $3.11 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.69% · 16.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.12% ±10.02 2,343 openings

7 days · 88.16% ±4.33 13.2K openings

30 days · 87.69% ±3.97 16.1K openings

since tracking started · 87.69% ±3.97 16.1K openings

83.0% 95.5% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=24h) | 2,343 | 97.12% ±10.0 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=7d) | 13.2K | 88.16% ±4.33 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141) | 16.1K | 87.69% ±3.97 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/141?window=all) | 16.1K | 87.69% ±3.97 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $251 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $227 | 1.5% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $192 | 1.5% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $126 | 1.5% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $119 | 1.5% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $113 | 1.5% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.62× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $73.83 | 1.4% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $53.96 | 1.5% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 877 | $39.77 | 1.5% | 17 | 18.4 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 862 | $39.08 | 1.5% | 13 | 18.7 | 0.70× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 448 | $33.01 | 2.4% | 35 | 35.9 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) | 1 in 427 | $31.53 | 2.4% | 30 | 37.7 | 0.80× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 330 | $24.35 | 2.4% | 41 | 48.8 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 330 | $24.31 | 2.4% | 46 | 48.8 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 319 | $23.54 | 2.4% | 47 | 50.4 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 309 | $22.74 | 2.4% | 57 | 52.2 | 1.09× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) | 1 in 224 | $16.49 | 2.4% | 78 | 72.0 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 201 | $14.80 | 2.4% | 79 | 80.2 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 194 | $14.31 | 2.4% | 88 | 83.0 | 1.06× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 188 | $13.84 | 2.4% | 71 | 85.7 | 0.83× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 183 | $13.51 | 2.4% | 83 | 87.8 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $11.84 | 2.4% | 90 | 100.2 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $11.48 | 2.4% | 103 | 103.5 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 148 | $10.91 | 2.4% | 100 | 108.8 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $10.64 | 2.4% | 106 | 111.7 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $10.03 | 2.4% | 111 | 118.4 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $9.89 | 2.4% | 108 | 120.0 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $8.86 | 2.4% | 135 | 134.1 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $8.77 | 2.4% | 137 | 135.4 | 1.01× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $7.05 | 5.6% | 403 | 401.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $6.04 | 5.6% | 446 | 469.1 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $4.95 | 5.6% | 577 | 572.4 | 1.01× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $4.90 | 5.6% | 559 | 578.2 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $4.40 | 5.6% | 629 | 643.9 | 0.98× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.53 | 5.6% | 715 | 802.6 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) | 67.9% | $0.30 | 6.5% | 11,161 | 10942.4 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/141`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $3.50 $333 95.16x 2026-11-05 20:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) [Faronek7 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Faronek7%20skins.army) $3.50 $333 95.16x 2026-11-03 17:17 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $3.50 $251 71.65x 2026-11-09 21:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [SubTick](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SubTick) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-11 11:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Masło](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mas%C5%82o) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Rasta](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Rasta) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-09 00:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [abdul wisimullaha](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abdul%20wisimullaha) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-08 19:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [skins.armyskibidi](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.armyskibidi) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-07 19:35 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [マッコ MTS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E3%83%9E%E3%83%83%E3%82%B3%20MTS) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-07 18:07 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Prezeso17](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Prezeso17) $3.50 $192 54.72x 2026-11-07 16:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=141)

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.50 $8.77 2.51x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) Hidden $3.50 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

[MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) [szmata szmata](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szmata%20szmata) $3.50 $11.48 3.28x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) [PRZYJEB D](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PRZYJEB%20D) $3.50 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) [xGremlinox skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/xGremlinox%20skins.army) $3.50 $11.84 3.38x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) Hidden $3.50 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

[USP-S | Stainless (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) [szmata szmata](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szmata%20szmata) $3.50 $7.05 2.01x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) [kroalovyy skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kroalovyy%20skins.army) $3.50 $4.95 1.41x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) [szmata szmata](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szmata%20szmata) $3.50 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) Hidden $3.50 $4.90 1.40x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $3.50 | 88.92% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.50 | 88.75% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% classified 5.4% #d32ee6 6.9% restricted 10.5% mil spec 0.2% pink 0.3% Legendary 4.7% #4b69ff 70.9% Mythical 0.7% best hit $333 (95.16x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.92 on average: an expected loss of $11.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt