---
title: "Łukasz Hydraulik case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Łukasz Hydraulik ($8.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.94% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Łukasz Hydraulik](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Łukasz Hydraulik

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=all)

Price · $8.00

Advertised RTP · 88.94% · EV $7.11 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426952?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,794 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $730 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $493 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $406 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $240 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,703 | $195 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $194 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 271 | $73.96 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 234 | $63.77 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 223 | $60.84 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 192 | $52.30 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $45.18 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $43.59 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 113 | $30.92 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $28.96 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $27.40 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $26.99 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $23.34 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $20.11 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $18.82 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $16.30 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $14.71 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $14.31 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $12.48 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $9.44 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $9.38 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $9.34 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $8.90 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $8.04 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 61.0% | $0.07 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1426952`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1426952)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 88.94% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% classified 10.9% covert 5.5% extraordinary 0.0% red 0.0% mil spec 0.0% restricted 3.2% Ancient 4.2% #eb4b4b 3.6% #d32ee6 7.8% #8847ff 3.8% Rare 61.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.94 on average: an expected loss of $11.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt