---
title: "Patryk Sprzęt case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Patryk Sprzęt ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Patryk Sprzęt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Patryk Sprzęt

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $13.33 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,086 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,375 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,471 | $612 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 847 | $352 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 538 | $223 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-battle-scarred) | 1 in 493 | $204 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 418 | $173 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 225 | $159 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-well-worn) | 1 in 174 | $123 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $69.29 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $63.51 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $42.36 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $36.36 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $36.17 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $31.46 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $29.23 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $25.40 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $22.13 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $18.44 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $18.17 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $15.24 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $15.15 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $15.03 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.63 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.24 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 10.4% | $0.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-well-worn) | 10.4% | $0.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) | 18.2% | $0.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1426988`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1426988)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 88.89% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.6% covert 10.4% rare 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.2% classified 12.7% Legendary 1.0% Ancient 1.9% pink 5.8% red 3.8% restricted 3.6% #8847ff 5.7% milspec 16.1% #4b69ff 38.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt