---
title: "Traitor case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Traitor ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 27 items with odds, observed 90.34% over 3,529 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Traitor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Traitor

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $8.89 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.34% · 3,529 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.66% ±29.60 308 openings

7 days · 92.55% ±9.60 2,930 openings

30 days · 90.34% ±8.75 3,529 openings

since tracking started · 90.34% ±8.75 3,529 openings

47.5% 77.8% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=24h) | 308 | 77.66% ±29.6 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=7d) | 2,930 | 92.55% ±9.60 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143) | 3,529 | 90.34% ±8.75 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/143?window=all) | 3,529 | 90.34% ±8.75 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,546 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $546 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $419 | 3.3% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $321 | 3.3% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $278 | 3.3% | 10 | 3.8 | 2.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 490 | $144 | 3.3% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 1 in 351 | $103 | 3.3% | 9 | 10.1 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 348 | $101 | 3.3% | 7 | 10.2 | 0.69× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 256 | $73.75 | 3.2% | 15 | 13.9 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 228 | $65.88 | 3.2% | 21 | 15.5 | 1.35× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 197 | $56.86 | 3.2% | 17 | 18.0 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $52.33 | 3.2% | 23 | 19.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 168 | $48.52 | 3.2% | 25 | 21.1 | 1.18× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $43.49 | 3.2% | 14 | 23.5 | 0.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $42.43 | 3.2% | 24 | 24.1 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $41.61 | 3.2% | 22 | 24.6 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $41.42 | 3.2% | 32 | 24.7 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $32.95 | 3.2% | 34 | 31.1 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $32.37 | 3.2% | 29 | 31.6 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $27.95 | 3.2% | 32 | 36.6 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Turbine (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-turbine-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $22.32 | 3.2% | 33 | 45.8 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $19.30 | 5.6% | 99 | 91.9 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $18.95 | 5.6% | 90 | 93.6 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $18.23 | 5.6% | 83 | 97.3 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $18.05 | 5.6% | 113 | 98.2 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $15.31 | 5.6% | 114 | 115.8 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $14.95 | 5.6% | 137 | 118.6 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 72.2% | $0.12 | 1.0% | 2,552 | 2561.6 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/143`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=143)

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 $73.75 7.38x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [G-E-I-T](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/G-E-I-T) $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $19.30 1.93x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [G-E-I-T](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/G-E-I-T) $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.12 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $10.00 | 88.89% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 1.6% #eb4b4b 0.3% #4b69ff 0.5% restricted 4.6% Legendary 0.6% red 0.7% classified 7.1% #d32ee6 8.4% #8847ff 1.3% #d32ce6 2.6% #87c7ff 72.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt