---
title: "Silky Silk case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Silky Silk ($30.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 26 items with odds, observed 92.54% over 937 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Silky Silk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Silky Silk

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=all)

Price · $30.00

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $26.67 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.54% · 937 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 99 openings · below min

7 days · 94.95% ±12.45 710 openings

30 days · 92.54% ±10.89 937 openings

since tracking started · 92.54% ±10.89 937 openings

70.0% 101.3% 132.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=24h) | 99 | 101.29% ±30.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=7d) | 710 | 94.95% ±12.5 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145) | 937 | 92.54% ±10.9 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/145?window=all) | 937 | 92.54% ±10.9 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 975 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $515 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $445 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $368 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 1,031 | $344 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 901 | $298 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) | 1 in 885 | $293 | 1.2% | 4 | 1.1 | 3.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 341 | $239 | 2.6% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 332 | $232 | 2.6% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 258 | $181 | 2.6% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 224 | $157 | 2.6% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $140 | 2.6% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 184 | $129 | 2.6% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $126 | 2.6% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $125 | 2.6% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $124 | 2.6% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $116 | 2.6% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $96.18 | 3.6% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $95.77 | 3.6% | 15 | 9.8 | 1.52× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $92.55 | 3.6% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 94 | $90.48 | 3.6% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.25× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $89.76 | 3.6% | 8 | 10.5 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $87.75 | 3.6% | 10 | 10.7 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $54.65 | 14.5% | 60 | 69.1 | 0.87× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $39.83 | 14.5% | 96 | 94.8 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 10.4% | $37.37 | 14.5% | 99 | 101.1 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) | 61.2% | $0.42 | 1.0% | 611 | 596.8 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/145`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 $577 19.23x 2026-11-06 22:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 $571 19.03x 2026-11-09 15:00 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $30.00 $515 17.16x 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=145)

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 $37.37 1.25x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [ShushiMnieYapa](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ShushiMnieYapa) $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [kick.com/krycholewa (rozdaje$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2Fkrycholewa%20%28rozdaje%24%29) $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [User0 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/User0%20skins.army) $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 $39.83 1.33x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [Steryd3](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steryd3) $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $30.00 $0.42 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [Steryd3](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steryd3) $30.00 $37.37 1.25x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $30.00 | 88.91% | 26 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $30.00 | 88.95% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.1% #d32ee6 1.0% covert 21.0% classified 1.5% #eb4b4b 0.1% pink 0.4% restricted 1.7% mil spec 63.9% Ancient 10.4% best hit $577 (19.23x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt