---
title: "RezReel case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RezReel ($2.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.98% from 43 items with odds, observed 90.20% over 14.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [RezReel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · RezReel

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 88.98% · EV $2.22 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.20% · 14.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.28% ±11.52 1,880 openings

7 days · 90.05% ±4.62 11.7K openings

30 days · 90.20% ±4.19 14.2K openings

since tracking started · 90.20% ±4.19 14.2K openings

81.0% 93.3% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=24h) | 1,880 | 93.28% ±11.5 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=7d) | 11.7K | 90.05% ±4.62 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059) | 14.2K | 90.20% ±4.19 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460059?window=all) | 14.2K | 90.20% ±4.19 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $307 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $225 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $129 | 1.3% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $76.78 | 1.3% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 2,439 | $68.89 | 1.3% | 10 | 5.9 | 1.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $62.92 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,128 | $60.28 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $57.38 | 1.3% | 11 | 7.2 | 1.54× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $57.16 | 1.3% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $47.62 | 1.3% | 18 | 8.6 | 2.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 1,587 | $45.24 | 1.3% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,562 | $44.62 | 1.3% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $39.02 | 1.3% | 7 | 10.4 | 0.67× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 1,266 | $36.01 | 1.3% | 14 | 11.3 | 1.24× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 342 | $19.98 | 2.6% | 36 | 41.8 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $13.72 | 2.6% | 65 | 60.8 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $10.47 | 2.6% | 77 | 79.7 | 0.97× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $10.20 | 2.6% | 86 | 81.8 | 1.05× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $7.68 | 2.6% | 106 | 108.7 | 0.98× |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $7.46 | 2.6% | 123 | 111.8 | 1.10× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-well-worn) | 1 in 121 | $7.08 | 2.6% | 114 | 117.8 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $6.50 | 2.6% | 137 | 128.3 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $6.22 | 2.6% | 132 | 134.1 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $6.12 | 2.6% | 137 | 136.3 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $5.75 | 2.6% | 141 | 145.0 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $5.51 | 2.6% | 149 | 151.4 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $4.94 | 5.1% | 326 | 326.8 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4.52 | 5.1% | 386 | 357.1 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4.51 | 5.1% | 383 | 357.8 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $4.32 | 5.1% | 370 | 373.5 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $4.07 | 5.1% | 385 | 396.6 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $3.73 | 5.1% | 432 | 432.7 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $2.96 | 5.1% | 576 | 545.3 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $2.08 | 2.0% | 333 | 309.3 | 1.08× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.45 | 2.0% | 444 | 443.8 | 1.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $1.30 | 2.0% | 453 | 495.1 | 0.91× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.96 | 2.0% | 664 | 670.4 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.66 | 2.0% | 970 | 975.0 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.44 | 1.0% | 691 | 715.1 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.34 | 1.0% | 902 | 925.4 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.32 | 1.0% | 1,028 | 983.2 | 1.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 16.5% | $0.14 | 1.0% | 2,338 | 2355.7 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 15.7% | $0.14 | 1.0% | 2,213 | 2247.3 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1460059`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [mike123\_87](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mike123_87) $2.50 $307 122.9x 2026-11-04 18:38 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $129 51.47x 2026-11-07 18:50 UTC

[AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $129 51.47x 2026-11-03 14:44 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1460059)

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.14 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.14 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.66 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [skins.army Rufix8](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army%20Rufix8) $2.50 $2.96 1.18x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.50 $2.96 1.18x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.50 $6.12 2.45x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[P90 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.34 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) [djhazel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/djhazel) $2.50 $7.68 3.07x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) Hidden $2.50 $10.20 4.08x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $4.51 1.80x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.98% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 3.1% covert 0.4% Covert 0.0% classified 9.7% covert knife 0.1% gold 0.1% pink 1.6% restricted 13.0% #8847ff 7.9% Legendary 3.6% violet 7.3% #d32ee6 2.8% mil spec 11.5% #4b69ff 23.3% Rare 15.7% best hit $307 (122.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.98 on average: an expected loss of $11.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt